BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 13/12/2022 (New Rules!)

[AlphaGambler]

READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 3.00 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score

 

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.
Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.
No Duplicate picks! All picks must be unique!
Odds must be between 1.50 to 3.00

The Prize pool is tiered,

150e
100e
75e
5e free bet
5e free bet
5e free bet
5e free bet
5e free bet.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/

Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

[steveo]

World cup  DEC 13th 

Argentina VS Croatia

Observation- as we come closer to the finals it's clear that all teams are good, this matchup will be a good one to watch.  Argentina is the favorite here but Croatia has shown they can win and are a force that wont be easy to beat. With that being said at this point of the tourney every team has shown they can score and i feel this game will be a high scoring game.  Argentina has scored in there last 5 matches at least 1 goal and Croatia has 6 goals in there last 5 matches but scoreless in 2 matches. 

Prediction is both teams to score yes at 2.20  

[ArvindDass]

Argentina holds the tournament qualitatively in terms of defense, but sometimes, nevertheless, it allows blots, which was also noticeable in the match with the Netherlands. Yes, the factor of Lionel Messi played this time as well and the team was able to get into the semi-finals, but a lot of nerves were spent. And the upcoming opponent looks no worse, having a similar game model, which only equalizes the chances of the teams. Croatia managed to create a small sensation in the quarter-finals, knocking out, perhaps, the main contender for the trophy in Qatar. They managed to close all possible areas for the Brazilians quick attacks and showed character, finding the strength to first bounce back in extra time, and then snatch a ticket to the semi-finals in the penalty shootout. This does credit to the Croats and will clearly raise the motivation of the players before the match with another giant of South American football.

I believe that two equal teams in this match and the one who makes fewer mistakes in a match will advance to the finals. 
My betting pick will be Argentina win 1.87 odds.

[PupperChan]

MOVISTAR VS SANGAL

Ok so uhh, 

Movistars is still losing... so for everyone to catch up. After Sunpayus, their greatest player and awper left, things took a turn for the WORST. Constantly losing games left and right and being forced to play against crazy strong teams, its no wonder they can no longer keep up! 

The awp is a very crucial and important role to take on and can only be given to someone you can trust to hold down the teams formation, the fill-in sausol is decent but not enough. The biggest problem for the riders is.. dav1g. Bottom fragging every match and failing to hold down sites or pick up any kills. With the carry gone and someone whose a burden, there's not much hope for the riders anymore.

I will not count the Rider's victory against local TIER 4 teams. That's just unfair.

 

On the other hand, SANGAL has been on a horrible losing streak last month losing 7 times in a row, they recently broke though by winning against BAD NEWS EAGLE and HEET. This was a huge achievement for SANGAL. The rising stars of TIER 3. They've gotten so good that they've won 2-1 against BiG once.

 

MY PREDICTION:

SANGAL TO WIN @ 1.83

MOVISTAR hasn't been playing much official matches at all. They only do it 1-2 times every 2 weeks so I can't comment on their form currently. Still, I'd still bet on their losses. With the way they are, I doubt they'll be making it back unless major changes are made!

Sangal's form is great after their 2 wins.

 

[Joshthomas]

1. Rio Ave is having a decent season in the championship, they are on the 10th rank in the table after 13 matches. There is already a gap of nine points from the relegation zone, which allows us to look to the future with optimism.

2. In the League Cup, Rio Ave is second in the group after two rounds a 0-2 defeat by Sporting in the last match seriously complicated the task of reaching the playoffs.

3. Farense as well as its current rival, the season is quite worthy. They are second strongest league in Portugal is fighting for promotion. After 13 matches, they are second in the table with 28 points

4. In the League Cup, Farense are third in the group with three points and still have a chance for the playoffs.

Bet: Rio Ave win

Odd: 2.13 

[Sumit]

=> total over 22.5 games 2.25 odds.

WTA tennis Limoges. Hard court Shuai Zhang. and Jessika Ponchet will play. It seems to me that there will be three sets in this game. Ponchet is on the rise and in personal match with Shuai Zhang., just at this tournament a year ago, the victory was for Ponchet  But in itself, in terms of level and experience, Zhang. is higher and here I expect a mark, where for one it is the job to prove superiority and win back for the last time, and for Ponchet it will be able to impose a fight. In addition, Zhang's last games were not entirely successful and it would be necessary to improve and I do not think that Zhang will come out light. It will be surely over games.

[Arou]

Argentina vs Croatia 
Total under 2 odds 2.06

My prediction:

Leo Messi and Argentina continue their quest for the 2022 World Cup title in Qatar! In the quarter, the Argentines took on Louis van Gaal's Netherlands in a stunningly dramatic match. Messi himself scored on penalties and had a lot of conflict. In the semifinals, the "Scalonette" will face the vice-champions of the world, the Croats, for whom there are no favorites on the soccer field.

Croatia authored one of the biggest sensations in Qatar, sending home Neymar and company. Zlatko Dalic's team is routinely labeled as the underdog, but they continue to do wonders. Will the Draughtsmen be denied another top South American team?

The game at the Lusail Ikonik Stadium kicks off on December 13 at 22:00 Moscow time.

Tentative squads for Argentina vs Croatia
Argentina (3-5-2): Emiliano Martinez-Lisandro Martinez, Otamendi, Romero - Tagliafico, Macallister, Fernandez, De Paul, Molina - Alvarez, Messi

Will not play: Acuña, Montiel (both - excess of yellow)

Croatia (4-1-2-3): Livakovic - Sosa, Guardiola, Lovren, Juranovic - Brozovic - Modric, Kovacic - Perisic, Kramaric, Pashalic

Will not play:

Referee: Daniele Orsato

In the 2022/23 season the experienced Italian referee has 11 matches under his belt: average GK total - 3.64, fouls - 20.18.

Forecast on the main outcomes of the match between Argentina and Croatia
Messi's magic or the magic triangle Brozovic-Modric-Kovacic? The main question of the first semifinal of World Cup 2022. The Argentines have a lot built on Leo, and up to this point he's been doing a 4+2 in goal+pass system. But the rest have not shown top-notch soccer. The Blues have problems in the center of the field and defense, even though Scaloni tried to play three center backs against the Netherlands. Marcos Acuña's absence on the left flank will cause even more problems - he was not only reliable in defense, but also actively involved in attacks. Tagliafico will not fully replace him.

Total goals prediction
Dalic's team plays stuffy, defensive soccer. As a result, four of their five matches in Qatar, the Checkers finished with a "draw" goal total. In three cases, zeros were left on the scoreboard. We doubt that Croatia will move away from its favorite style in the semifinals. The Argentines are a little more cheerful in terms of performance at the World Cup, but we will rely on Dalic's pragmatism here. Even the Brazilians failed to draw the Croatians into risky soccer.

THE MATCH WILL START IN 24 HOURS AND 30 MINUTES

[Maniés]

As i have mistakenly entered a bet for day 12 being from day 13 i will have two bets for day 13 xD

The teams held 37 matches between themselves, in which Sporting left the field as the winner 23, while Maritimo celebrated success in 6 matches, as well as in 8 games, the teams could not identify the strongest and the meetings ended in a draw. The last head to head confrontation between them took place on February 26, 2022 and it ended with the score 1:1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded indicates the following results: 70-32.

Sporting Lisbon could not have hoped for a better start to their Taca da Liga title defence as they currently sit top of Group B after picking up six points from the opening two games.

Maritimo, who have now picked up one draw and lost three of their last four matches across all competitions, are currently 17th in the Primeira Liga table, five points away from Famalicao just outside the relegation zone.

 My bet: Under 2.5 goals with 2.440 odds

[PupperChan]

On 12/13/2022 at 12:36 AM, PupperChan said:

MOVISTAR VS SANGAL

Ok so uhh, 

Movistars is still losing... so for everyone to catch up. After Sunpayus, their greatest player and awper left, things took a turn for the WORST. Constantly losing games left and right and being forced to play against crazy strong teams, its no wonder they can no longer keep up! 

The awp is a very crucial and important role to take on and can only be given to someone you can trust to hold down the teams formation, the fill-in sausol is decent but not enough. The biggest problem for the riders is.. dav1g. Bottom fragging every match and failing to hold down sites or pick up any kills. With the carry gone and someone whose a burden, there's not much hope for the riders anymore.

I will not count the Rider's victory against local TIER 4 teams. That's just unfair.

 

On the other hand, SANGAL has been on a horrible losing streak last month losing 7 times in a row, they recently broke though by winning against BAD NEWS EAGLE and HEET. This was a huge achievement for SANGAL. The rising stars of TIER 3. They've gotten so good that they've won 2-1 against BiG once.

 

MY PREDICTION:

SANGAL TO WIN @ 1.83

MOVISTAR hasn't been playing much official matches at all. They only do it 1-2 times every 2 weeks so I can't comment on their form currently. Still, I'd still bet on their losses. With the way they are, I doubt they'll be making it back unless major changes are made!

Sangal's form is great after their 2 wins.

 

How does Movistar keep losing. They've been ranked 26th for a while and is playing regularly on non official matches. This is absurd