BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 30/11/2022

[AlphaGambler]

*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.

The Prize pool is tiered,

150e
100e
75e
5e free bet
5e free bet
5e free bet
5e free bet
5e free bet.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/

Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

[steveo]

World Cup 

France VS Tunisia

Observation- France is up against Tunisia whom is in last place in their group. France has been on fire with scoring 4 goals against AUS and 2 against Denmark. Tunisia is 0-1-1 and france is 2-0-0, Tunisia has yet to score a goal in the cup losing to Aus and Denmark. Australia scored 1 goal against them and Denmark was unable to score on them. So with france a huge favorite and Tunisia in a bad spot and losing hope i feel this game will be a easy match for france whom has over 6 goals so far this qualifier. France won the FIFA cup in 2018 and lost in 2020 to Switzerland which shows they can go the distance and week teams will have 0 chance against them. 

Observation is france to score over 2.5 at 2.25 Bet365  

[Garf79]

World Cup action and the match I am going for is Australia V's Denmark and I think that the Aussies will be setting up very defensively, resulting in a low scoring match. Denmark need a win to progress buy Australia only need a draw to go through, these two teams have only scored 3 goals between them in the whole competition so far and this may not be any different. My only worry is if Denmark score early then there is likely to be 3 or 4 goals because Australia would have to press for the draw. Stat suggest low scoring game 0-0 or 1-1 possible- So my pick is under2.5 goals @1.90 on bet 365

[ArvindDass]

The Saudi Arabia national team surprised everyone in the opening game at the World Cup, sensationally beating one of the favorites of the tournament, Argentina. However, already in the second match, the Arabians did not show such realization, although they created a lot of moments in the match with Poland, but lost in the end. In certain scenarios, the team will be satisfied with a draw in the final matcg of the group round, but the opponent is unlikely to agree with such options. Mexico, after a draw with Poland, lost completely to the Argentines and, before the third match, is the last in the quartr. However, the Greens have not lost their chances of reaching the playoffs, which will only increase their motivation in the upcoming match with a less opponent. The Mexicans need a big victory over the Arabians in order not to depend on the outcome of the parallel match.

My betting pick will be Mexico win 1.7 odds.

Edited November 29, 2022 by ArvindDass

[Sumit]

=> Forze to win 2.09 odds.

The Portugal team SAW with a level of play that is limited to the tier-2 scene is performing quite well this year for their level. Won 7 tournaments. They qualified for PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Europe RMR A, but they failed to show good results there and qualify for the Major the second attempt was with a major in Rio, they also qualified for IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B, but, unfortunately, they could not show good results there. ESL Challenger started off with an easy start due to a technical defeat in the match against Eternal Fire. The Russian team with the level of play, which is limited to the shooting range-2 scene, performs quite well this year. They won only two tournaments, but their main achievement is the passage through the PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Europe RMR A to the challenger stage of the major. But, unfortunately, they failed to show good results in the stage itself, taking off in 9-11th place. Now, forZe is undergoing lineup changes. Because of this, the level of their game serio ESL Challenger started off with a great start, beating the Fnatic Rising academic roster then advancing through the bracket and beating 9NINE  in a difficult match.

[Joshthomas]

1. The Australian team in the second round proved that it was not in vain that they were considered not the easiest opponent in their quartet, and beat strong Tunisia (1:0) with the opponent's advantage in all aspects. This success allowed them to immediately move to the second in the table and maintain good chances of advancing to the next round of the tournament.

2. Now it is enough for the them not to concede to the Danes in the match of the final round, which is almost guaranteed to bring them to the playoffs. However, the Australians will face a difficult test with a very good European opponent, who will enter the field exclusively for victory.

3. Denmark can still show its class in Qatar and, after a draw in the first match, lost to the French (1:2), which made it more difficult for itself to reach the next stage. They again did not show a high level of play in attack, and in defense they did not perform in the best way against the world champions.

Last day of betting pick competition, good luck all!

Bet: Total under 2.5 goals

Odds: 1.952

[Arou]

Saudi Arabia vs. Mexico
Mexico will win odds on pinnacle 1.7

My prediction:
Saudi Arabia and Mexico will play each other for a playoff berth in the third round of the group stage of the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. The meeting will take place on Nov. 30 at the Lusail Ikonik Stadium. The opponents will not think about defense?

Approximate lineups for the Saudi Arabia-Mexico match:
Saudi Arabia (4-2-3-1): Al-Owais - Al-Buraik, Al-Amri, Al-Buleihi, Abdulhamid - Kanno, Al-Obud - Al-Brikan, Al-Dawsari, Al-Naji - Al-Shehri

Not playing: Sharakhili, Al-Faraj, Al-Shahrani (all - injury), Al-Malki (disqualified)

Mexico (4-1-2-3): Ochoa - Gallardo, Moreno, Montes, Sanchez - Alvarez - Chavez, Herrera - Vega, Lozano, Jimenez

Forecast on the main outcomes of the match Saudi Arabia - Mexico
The situation in Group C is complicated and intriguing at the same time. Mexico is in last place but if they win this game they will almost certainly make the playoffs. A draw can be good for Saudi Arabia, but only if they lose to Poland's Argentina. The home team will also be looking to win. However, their chances against the Mexicans are minimal. The difference in class between the opponents is noticeable. In addition, the Mexicans will already be ready for Saudi Arabia, which surprised Argentina and the entire soccer world so much in the opening round. Note also that Mexico has won all three previous head-to-head meetings with Saudi Arabia. We take the victory of Mexico at odds of 1.7 at pinnacle.

THE MATCH WILL START IN 24 HOURS