BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 25/11/2022

[AlphaGambler]

*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.

The Prize pool is tiered,

150e
100e
75e
5e free bet
5e free bet
5e free bet
5e free bet
5e free bet.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/

Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

[steveo]

NHL - start time 7pm CET November 25th 

Carolina VS Boston 

Observation- Well boston is coming into this game with a 17-3-0 record and is first in the Atlantic league.  Carolina is 10-6-4 and is 3rd in the metropolitan league. Boston has a 4.16 average goals per game which is crazy and Carolina has a 2.8 goals per game average. Carolina is on a 4 game losing  streak scoring only 6 goals in there last 5 games. Boston lost last night allowing 5 goals against them against Florida but boston was using a back up goalie to rest there best whom is in tonight. Bostons goalie has a 13-1-0 record and a 1.9 goals against average. So with carolina not scoring well in the last 4 games and boston's best goalie in this game.  Neither team here allows over 3 goals as a average so this game should be low scoring and there last matchup was a 3-2 game for Carolina so it could go either way on the moneyline but the under here is looking good. AS boston struggled last night to score they struggled a lot and hopefully it will be the same for this game. 

Prediction is under 6 for 1.78 (oddsportal -average) will post pinnacle/bet365 when available here   

[ArvindDass]

The England team performed well in attack in the debut round of the World Cup and were able to implement almost everything they had created. However, in defense, the British did not show their best side and conceded twice, which could, under other circumstances, become critical. Most likely, the upcoming opponent will not allow too many chances to the England in their own penalty area, but the Americans are not famous for their standard defensive line either. The United States had a good first half against the Welsh and could well have gone to the break with a more significant lead in the score. But they failed to put the squeeze on the enemy before the break, and in the second half they decided to play the second number, which turned out to be disastrous in terms of scoring three points. Now the team should take points in the fight with the England, otherwise the chances of reaching the playoffs will drop to the minimum.

My betting pick will be England win 1.584 odds. 

[Garf79]

Enjoying this World Cup now that it is just about the football, just a shame my picks are not coming in lol. Anyway I am pretty sure Qatar will be looking for any advantage they can in this tournament, they seemed to have VAR on their side in the first match and I think the ref will swing with the home pressure and produce a few early cards tomorrow for Senegal. I think this match may get a bit heated so I think over 3.5 cards is a very safe bet. My pick for tomorrow is over 3.5 cards @1.80 on Bet365

[Joshthomas]

1. The England team looked very solid in the attack in the opening round and scored against Iran (6:2) almost everything they created, showing excellent implementation. This success has clearly added positive emotions to Gareth Southgate's team and will raise motivation in the game against the Americans, because a victory in the upcoming match will take them to the next round of the tournament.

2. The British turned out to be well prepared functionally, but made several mistakes in defense, which resulted in two goals conceded. The present enemy will be clearly more skillful than the last, and may well upset the British defensive lines again.

3. The USA looked great before the break in the match with Wales and could go into the second half with a more significant advantage in the score. However, Gregg Berhalter's team were unlucky in some moments, and the Welsh goalkeeper often saved his team. After the break, they decided to play according to the result, counting on counterattacks, but this did not bring dividends and everything ended in a draw (1:1). Now the Americans can’t lose to another British team in any way, otherwise the chances of leaving the group will be less.

Bet: Total over 2.5 goals = Yes
Odd:  1.89

[Sumit]

=> Wales win 2.12 odds.

The main thing is that it would not work out like with Argentina, that everyone took the victory of the favorite, and they failed. Very strange odds for the victory of Wales. In the match, as I think, yes, the second place, the team snatched a draw with the USA and continues to fight for the exit, and in such a situation, losing points with a clear outsider is simply stupid, especially since in the last round to play with England, which may not really fight from - for uselessness. In general, the chances for Wales are very good and they must win. Iran showed a very incomprehensible game, the team is clearly of a bad level.

[Arou]

England vs USA
Total at 2.75 odds 1.84

My prediction:
The English team created a furor at the World Cup in Qatar, one of the first to win with a smashing score. Recall that the "victim" was the team of Iran, which the British defeated - 6:2, becoming the sole leaders of Group B with three points in their asset. The next opponent of Gareth Southgate's team is the U.S. national team, which played a draw with Wales (1:1) and formally occupies the second position in the group.

Tentative squads for the match England vs USA
England (4-2-3-1): Pickford - Shaw, Dyer, Stones, Trippier - Rice, Bellingham - Sterling, Mount, Saka - Kane.

Will not play: -

USA (4-3-3): Turner - Rome, Zimmerman, Robinson, Dest - Moussa, Adams, Aaronson - Pulisic, Reina, Vea

Not applicable: - - Rabinieri.

Referee: Jesus Valenzuela

He has refereed 31 games this season, averaging 6.17 CPR and 28.67 fouls

The first-round match in the group stage of the World Cup has greatly "bumped up" the statistics on England's goals this year. Prior to that, England had averaged 2.5 goals per game. In U.S. games, they averaged 1.91. Only three of the past nine meetings Southgate's charges have scored more than three goals this year; the U.S. national team has not scored more than three goals in ten of the past 11 games. We think that this time we should not expect high performance, so we choose the bet total under 2.75

MATCH WILL START FOR 24 HOURS

[steveo]

7 hours ago, steveo said:

NHL - start time 7pm CET November 25th 

Carolina VS Boston 

Observation- Well boston is coming into this game with a 17-3-0 record and is first in the Atlantic league.  Carolina is 10-6-4 and is 3rd in the metropolitan league. Boston has a 4.16 average goals per game which is crazy and Carolina has a 2.8 goals per game average. Carolina is on a 4 game losing  streak scoring only 6 goals in there last 5 games. Boston lost last night allowing 5 goals against them against Florida but boston was using a back up goalie to rest there best whom is in tonight. Bostons goalie has a 13-1-0 record and a 1.9 goals against average. So with carolina not scoring well in the last 4 games and boston's best goalie in this game.  Neither team here allows over 3 goals as a average so this game should be low scoring and there last matchup was a 3-2 game for Carolina so it could go either way on the moneyline but the under here is looking good. AS boston struggled last night to score they struggled a lot and hopefully it will be the same for this game. 

Prediction is under 6 for 1.78 (oddsportal -average) will post pinnacle/bet365 when available here   

odds change to 1.86 pinnacle

[Maniés]

Initially, many carefully assessed the prospects of the squad due to unfavorable climatic conditions. However, even hot weather did not prevent Iran from fully declassifying (6:2). Jude Bellingham with Bukayo Saka set the tone for the game with goals scored, and in the future the remaining players caught the courage. Such vivid success has definitely had a positive impact on the morale of Gareth Southgate's gang. So at a distance they are unlikely to slow down. The only weakness of the representatives of Europe, perhaps, should be called an imperfect defense. Harry Maguire with John Stones periodically make blunders. And with the Fulbecs, things are so-so. In addition, the nearest game risks missing Harry Kane. Tottenham's goalscorer suffered ankle damage. Although we are not talking about serious injury.

A few days ago, the American team shared points with Wales (1:1), conceding a goal from the penalty spot at the end of the match. North Americans willingly went ahead to find their chances, but they failed to create many truly dangerous moments. The colossal threat of the wards of Gregg Berhalter is carried from the flanks. Timothy Weah and Christian Pulisic often found themselves with the ball, leaving opponents out of work due to speed qualities. Guys often slowed down other people's attacks due to fouls, which led to four yellow cards.

 My bet: Under 2.25 goals with 2.450 odds