BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 17/11/2022

[AlphaGambler]

*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.

The Prize pool is tiered,

First Place will win 200€,

Second Place 100€,

Third place 50€.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/

Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

[steveo]

Euroleague -basketball- start time is  17 Nov 2022, 20:30 CET 

Bayern - Olympiacos

Observation is Bayern, ranked 1th in scoring so far this season with a 80.0 points per game average and Olympiacos has the second best points per game average with 86. Olympiacos is undefeated on the road this season and are 23- 15 for the season. Bayern is also hot comming in with a 23-16 season. So both teams with 80 points per game average should be able to break the over here as both teams are hot especially Olympiacos when they are the away team. Both teams show they have decent offence but the defence is lacking in most games so to me thats says high scoring game! there last matchup was  88:98 which = 186 which is 30 more points  then the over here lol 

Prediction is over 157.5 at 1.81 (odds portal) 

[Garf79]

A massive list of pre-World Cup Friendlies on Thursday and plenty of games to chose from but the game I have picked is Japan V's China, now to be fair Canada are looking like they have a pretty good squad and possibly the best one the country has ever produced. Japan however are one of my picks to get through to at least the last 16 of the World Cup and I think Japan out class Canada in speed, skill and team spirit. This is a friendly match though and both teams will be trying things out, so it is a risky pick but I am pretty sure will be too good for Canada even though Canada are a more physical and strong team. My pick for Thursday is Japan win @2.19 on Pinnacle.

[Garf79]

@steveo gotta be on Bet365 or Pinnacle bro 📐

[PupperChan]

BAD NEWS EAGLES VS 500

My favourite casino recently signed a team under their name and got invited to ELISA lol. Here goes!

500:

Although under a new organization, they are still the same good ol SKADE. With the difference being is that they are now better payed and backed up with a lot more resources… so no more throwing and match fixes 🙂

Currently on a 5 win streak notably against TRICKED, Enterprise, Ecstatic and Sinners. They have been performing better than anyone expected. Yes! These are all upsets and odds were really high for them.

Team in great form and all players have incredible impact but how long can they keep this up? Things will be drastically different against a top team like BNE so we cant expect the same performance from their last few games.

 

BAD NEWS EAGLES:

Ranking 16th, they have ALL the advantages on their side.

Experience against Tier 1 teams, player talents, map pool, synergy, EVEN all the fans and predictors favor em here. There is no way in hell SKADE can beat BNE right now despite past H2H matches showing that they have 2 more wins over them. (That was awhile ago)

BNE has improved significantly within these short few months and have created a name for themselves.

They have recently participated in the sh*tshow known as RIO (All the Tier 1 teams got eliminated very early and crowd was nowhere to be seen in finals with Outsiders against Heroic) where they defeated FaZe 2-1 and GamerLegion 2-0.

They have been only playing against the top teams unlike 500 so individual stats are unfairly skewed towards 500 who has been winning more.

 

MY PREDICTION:

sorry 500, as much as I love the team, they cant beat BNE right now.

This is a BO1 so theres still a chance things can go sideways if BNE gets unlucky.

BAD NEWS EAGLES TO WIN!

 

 

[Sumit]

=> Both team to score> Yes 1.98 odds

Ireland did not even fully participate in the fight for a ticket to the World Cup - they finished third in their group, but behind the second Portugal was as much as eight points behind. In the Nations League, they looked quite decent - in the group with Scotland, Ukraine and Armenia, the Irish finished third and managed to maintain in league B. Norway, a very solid selection of players, they failed to qualify for the World Cup in Qatar. They came to the finish line third, three points behind second Turkey. They also did not have success in the Nations League - thy lost the fight for victory in the group of the Serbian national team, three points behind it, the fault of the defeat in a face-to-face match in the last round.

[steveo]

1 hour ago, Garf79 said:

@steveo gotta be on Bet365 or Pinnacle bro 📐

rok told me i could use bet portal it does not show me these game odds till to late but ok 

 

[steveo]

3 hours ago, steveo said:

Euroleague -basketball- start time is  17 Nov 2022, 20:30 CET 

Bayern - Olympiacos

Observation is Bayern, ranked 1th in scoring so far this season with a 80.0 points per game average and Olympiacos has the second best points per game average with 86. Olympiacos is undefeated on the road this season and are 23- 15 for the season. Bayern is also hot comming in with a 23-16 season. So both teams with 80 points per game average should be able to break the over here as both teams are hot especially Olympiacos when they are the away team. Both teams show they have decent offence but the defence is lacking in most games so to me thats says high scoring game! there last matchup was  88:98 which = 186 which is 30 more points  then the over here lol 

Prediction is over 157.5 at 1.81 (odds portal) 

sorry bet365 odds update found it my bad (tks garf ) 

changes to over 158.5 for 1.90 

[ArvindDass]

Felix Auger had a poor start in Turin, losing in the first round of the group stage to Casper Ruud. Felix managed to control for that defeat in the second round match, where he dealt with Rafael Nadal in two games. Thus, everything for Felix will be decided in the upcoming fight. Auger-Aliassime this season has a good statistics of performances on the indoor courts. Taylor Fritz, on the contrary, showed a confident start in Turin, beating Rafael Nadal in the first round of the group stage. However, then Taylor lost to Casper Ruud - everything in this pair was decided in the third set in a tie-break . Thus, for Fritz, too, the fate of reaching the playoffs is decided in the final round of the group stage. 
My betting pick will be total over 23.5 games

[AlphaGambler]

@steveo @Garf79

I told steve to use http://www.oddsportal.com/ because he had a problem finding games on Pinnacle. Pinnacle is showing him only matches for the current days, and because of the different time zoon, he has a problems finding the games according to EU time.

On oddsportal is easier because you can see all matches with odds for a few days upfront

[Arou]

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Taylor Fritz
Over 22.5 games on pinnacle odds 1.73

My prediction:
Felix Auger Aliassime and Taylor Fritz are the two debutants at the Final Tournament, whose head-to-head encounter will determine the second playoff berth. Both players have had the best season of their careers, but who is ready to make an extra effort here and now and win a head-to-head match? Let's find out.  

Coverage: indoor hard

Coverage speed: 9/10

Current Auger Aliassime rating: 6

Auger Aliassime's (2022) win balance: 58-27

Auger Aliassime's win balance (hard indoors): 26-5

Current Fritz rating: 9

Fritz's (2022) win balance: 44-20

Fritz win balance (hard indoors): 5-4

Statistical facts on Auger Aliassime vs. Fritz match:
Auger Aliassime has five wins with two losses on indoors for odds of 1.50 to 1.99 this season.

Fritz has won at least a game in all nine meetings on Indore this season.

Auger Aliassime - Fritz face-offs:
Fritz achieved a win on the open hard court at the January ATP-Cap (6-7, 6-4, 6-4).

Felix Auger Aliassime vs. Taylor Fritz match prediction:
If we summarize what we've seen from the two matches, we liked Fritz more. The match with the informal Ruud comes to the forefront. The American didn't immediately enter the match, which cost him a losing game. After a bit later he got the hang of it, readjusted and, well, did not concede anything. He's basically a more balanced player who, with proper attacking skills, is better on reception and defense than Auger Aliassime. The Canadian is stronger than Fritz in prime on Indore, but right now his form can't be called outstanding. He did not score a single break point against Ruud, which means he cannot normally receive and score points on plays in which he does not have an advantage.  

It seems that mentally both players are at the same level, so it is not so fundamental to argue who can and can't fail in such a big match. We'll try to play against Auger Aliassime's unconvincing receiving game. The Canadian won 24% of his receptions against Ruud. Fritz is able to hold his serve 100% in the first meetings with 65% of his first ball over 80%.

THE MATCH WILL START IN EXACTLY  24 HOURS
BELOW YOU CAN SEE THE EXACT CET (CENTRAL EUROPEAN TIME) AT THE TIME OF PUBLICATION OF THIS FORECAST.

[Maniés]

The upcoming rivals played 4 matches between themselves. Penafiel was able to win 1 while Moreirense celebrated 1 victory. By the way, draws between teams were registered 2 times. The last time the teams played was on September 17, 2022 and then the match ended with the score 1:1. Scored goal difference 4-4.

Penafiel previous match was against SL Benfica B in Liga Portugal 2, match ended with result 1 - 2 (Penafiel won the match). Penafiel is a 2nd division team and stands in the 11th place of the league with 18 points and has already played 13 games. 

Moreirense previous match was against Tondela in Liga Portugal 2, match ended with result 1 - 1. Moreirense is a 2nd division team and stands in the 1st place of the league with 32 points and 13 matches played, surely on a great path to the next division to play with the big ones. 

 My bet: Both teams to score with 2.010 odds

[Joshthomas]

1. Bayern broke through. The German squad won two matches in the Euroleague at once. At first, they defeated with Anadolu Efes at home (81:78). After that, they managed to slam Alba on the road (79:77).

2. It looks like the team from Munich is starting to get out of the crisis. After all, Bayern's winning streak is now four games. In addition to winning the Euroleague, they managed to defeat Crailsheim (88:77) and Bayreuth (81:68) in the domestic championship.

3. Olympiacos is one of the leaders in the Euroleague. So far, the Greek team has lost only two matches. Such statistics allow them  to occupy the second line in the Euroleague standings. Only Fenerbahce is ahead.

4. This season, Olympiacos has not lost a single match away from home. The Greeks look very confident. In recent matches, they left no chance to Real Madrid (89:87) and Basque Country (97:92). They are not averse to continuing their successful streak.

Bet: total over 156.5
Odds: 1.78