BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 15/11/2022

[AlphaGambler]

*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.

The Prize pool is tiered,

First Place will win 200€,

Second Place 100€,

Third place 50€.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/

Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

[steveo]

NHL--- Start time is 3 am CET time which is 10 pm the 14th my time ( need a little extra time today to catch up on time zone difference so game is in 14 hours then all my picks will be 24 hrs sorry this is how i can figure out the time zone difference which is messing me up lol) ---

Colorado VS St Louis 

Observation- Colorado won the stanley cup last year but this year are struggling a bit with a record of 8-4-1 going against the struggling St Louis team whom is 5-8-0. St louis was on a 7 game losing streak but has snapped out of it and won there last 2 games against Vegas (13-3-0) and Toronto (8-5-3), so good teams. I feel this will be a tight game as both teams at this point need the win. Colorado goals per game is 3RD in the league with 3.68 and St louis is 32nd with 2.3 goals per game. Colorado goals against per game is 2.6 and St louis has 3.6 goals against a game. Both goalies here have a high save percentage so the game should be low scoring 

Prediction is under 6.5 at 1.94 pinnacle 

Thanks again guys now ill be on CET time and be 24 hrs ahead now  

[Garf79]

F.A Cup Replays and I posted about these games not to long ago, almost all of these games saw much bigger teams from higher divisions held to a draw by their opposition. Now though the bigger teams have the home advantage and should progress easily through to the next round, this is however the F.A Cup and upsets and giant killings happen frequently. Hopefully my pick won't be one o the upsets, Gillingam from League 2 are at home to Flyde who are in Norther League one which is about 4 divisions below League 2. Neither team are doing great in their respective leagues but Gillingham have the better results over the last 5 games and are professional players, the Flyde Players will have second jobs, so you would think this should be an easy win....let's hope so. My Pick Gllingham Win @1.862 on Pinnacle.

[Sumit]

=> Taylor Fritz win for 1.74 odds.

This match will be in between Casper Ruud and Taylor Fritz at indoor courts of hard tournament STARTING AFTER 26 HOURS, Taylor Fritz easily beat Nadal, who had never shown any particular results on indoor hard. Casper Rudd is now in good form, having won several tournaments, and he beat Novak himself in the final, which will give him confidence in his skills and abilities. Here you can bet over games also bcoz They should come in because the guys know how to serve and not to take the victory of the Casper Rudd for such a odds is straight foolishness in any case, it will be possible to catch it in live when the Fritz starts to lose and secure. Fritz himself is also in good condition and I think he will again shine in this match.

[Arou]

Casper Ruud vs Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz will win on pinnacle odds 1.8

My prediction:
In the confrontation between Casper Ruud and Taylor Fritz will be decided, who in case of victory with a huge probability will make it to the playoffs. The Norwegian is supposed to be helped by his successful experience on local courts last year, because he managed to get out of the group, beating Norrie and Rublev. Or will the American debutant surprise everyone again? 

Surface: indoor hard court

Coverage speed: 9/10

Ruud's current ranking: 4

Ruud's win balance (2022): 50-21

Ruud's win balance (hard indoors): 3-2

Current Fritz rating: 9

Fritz (2022) win balance: 44-19

Fritz win balance (hard indoors): 5-3

Statistical facts for the Ruud vs. Fritz match:
Ruud has eight wins with two losses in the last ten meetings for odds of 2.00 to 3.00.

Fritz has won at least a set in all eight indoors matches on the season.

Face-to-face meetings between Ruud and Fritz:
The tennis players have never previously crossed paths in tournament sets.

Prediction for the match Casper Ruud - Taylor Fritz:
Well, playing for 1.70 Fritz against Ruud can and should be played on any surface except the dirt. The American has had an incredible season, showing significant progress in terms of game and mentally. In his first match against the Nadal legend he played at the highest level. Judge for yourself: 69% of the first ball, 80% and 78% of the first and second balls won. Here he had 23 winkers against four uncalled ones. Taylor was clearly overwhelmed by the fast local coverage.

Ruud is certainly more confident on fast coverage thanks to an equally impressive season. And yes, he played an exemplary match against Auger Alyassim, not allowing a single break point. Though statistically less active than the partially dismantled Canadian. The match turned out to be very close, that is, he was a little luckier somewhere.

As it seems, any top-10 player in optimum form is stronger than Ruud on fast coverage, despite his progress this season. Here and now Fritz is in great condition, judging by the numbers against Nadal on serve and reception.

THE MATCH WILL START IN EXACTLY  24 HOURS
BELOW YOU CAN SEE THE EXACT CET (CENTRAL EUROPEAN TIME) AT THE TIME OF PUBLICATION OF THIS FORECAST.

[Maniés]

Taylor Fritz made his ATP Finals debut with a bit of luck (due to Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal) and then produced a super-impressive performance to beat the former world #1 Rafael Nadal. He was rock-solid on serve throughout the match and played a couple of excellent return games in the second set to complete a solid 7-6 6-1 win.

Casper Ruud has proved his critics wrong on hard surfaces since the second half of 2021, and he has done it again in Turin this week. Facing an in-form opponent who had won 23 more matches than him on indoor hard courts in 2022, he put in an assured performance and got the win without even facing a breakpoint, 7-6 6-4 against Felix Auger Aliassime.

Taylor Fritz has got more weapons to thrive in these conditions, and this is his opportunity to win and set one foot in the semifinal of the ATP Finals.

 My bet: Over 2.5 sets with 2.320 odds

[ArvindDass]

Wimbledon did not stay in the First League of England last season, which brought 23rd place and a ticket to League 2. Over 18 matches of the current championship, the capital club got up six wins and, finally brought 23 points and 15 th place in the standings. After defeating Leyton Orient, they tied with Salford. The first match against today's opponent ended in a draw too. The club, from south of England and the province of Dorset, had a great first leg in the FA Cup. The team is not so successful in the National League tournament, where, after 16 matches of the current championship, the seaside club won two wins only which brought eight points and the last position in the standings. In addition, the gap from the safe zone has increased and now stands at nine points. In the last game, the team beat Braintree. I think there will be less goals.
My betting pick will be under 3.5 goals 1.54 odds.