BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 13/11/2022

[AlphaGambler]

*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.

The Prize pool is tiered,

First Place will win 200€,

Second Place 100€,

Third place 50€.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/

Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

[Sumit]

=> Taylor Fritz win 2.15 odds.

Match is after 27 hours. Nadal enters the ATP Finals in mediocre playing condition. Before coming to Turin, the Spanish tennis player did not have proper game practice. He played only one match on the eve of the current competition - at the start of the Masters in Paris, Rafael lost in three sets to Tommy Paul. However, we recall that this season Nadal has won four trophies - he won tournaments in Melbourne and Acapulco, and also won the Australian Open and Roland Garros. Fritz did not play well in the last two tournaments, which were held on indoor hard. Taylor left Vienna at the end of the second round, and also at the end of the second round he sheathed his racquet at the Masters in Paris but before that, the American was noted for a good game on the courts of Tokyo, where he took the main trophy of the competition, beating Francis Tiafoe in the final. It was Fritz's third title this season, having previously won the Indian Wells Masters and the Isbourne Grass Tournament.

[Garf79]

Need to break this losing streak as I think I have lost about 4 of my last 5, I am going for one of the two Premier League games tomorrow and I am picking the Brighton V's Aston Villa match. Brighton have been in good form all season and scoring pretty well too, all this even with their manager Graham Potter moving to Chelsea. Aston Villa are on a bit of resurgence and have scored 5 goals in their last 2 games. I am thinking this game should have goals in it as both these teams have a good scoring record in the Premier League this season. I think Brighton will win the game and there will be 3 or 4 goals. So my pick is over 2.5 goals @1.90 on Bet 365

[ArvindDass]

Juventus won five league titles in a row and began to show simply phenomenal efficiency with minimal energy consumption. The team lost many players due to injuries, but managed to show character and beat opponents in a pragmatic style. The Old Lady has already broken into the top 4 of the championship and is quite capable of displacing Milan from the third position even before leaving for the winter break, because key performers have begun to leave the infirmary. As for Lazio, everything here is also quite weighty and decent. The club retains the second posi, although it is becoming increasingly difficult to do this, given the frequent misfires of the Romans. Now the team will face a very difficult test in Turin, because the opponent will be set up exclusively for three points. In my opinion, this pair of special intrigue will not work. Juventus is only gaining momentum with every game, which cannot be said about the opponent, who began to lose points frequently. In addition, they will have an advantage in the form of their own field with the support of the stands. Lazio may well compete on equal terms in individual episodes, but it is unlikely that they will last the entire distance and lose in the end.

My betting pic will be Juventus ein 1.99 odds 

[Joshthomas]

1. Alzira last season was only in seventh position in the country's fourth strongest league, which did not allow them to get a promotion. In total, the Valencian club has one season in the Segunda, which is the highest achievement.
2. In the current season, They got only two wins and a draw, which corresponds to 8 points and 16th position in the standings. After a series of three defeats in a row, riberenos at home with difficulty got an important draw with Terrace (0:0).

3. After the away defeat from Girona (1:2), Athletic defeated Valladolid (3:0) on the home field with a clean sheet. This result, before the big break for the World Championship, brought seven wins and three draws, which corresponds to 24 points and 4th position in the standings.

Bet: total over 2.5 goals yes
odd: 1.65 

[Arou]

Rafael Nadal vs Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz will win odds on pinnacle 2.15

My prediction:
Rafael Nadal for the 11th time will play in the final tournament, which so far has never won. He has only twice played in the finals, and in both cases he lost to Federer and Djokovic without much chance. In 2022 he will begin the next campaign for the title with a match against a debutant in Taylor Fritz. The American was in the Torino backline thanks to the withdrawal of Carlos Alcaraz because of injury. Well, it's 1-1 in head-to-head encounters so far this season. Who will get the next win?

Surface: indoor hard court

Speed: 9/10

Current Nadal rating: 2.

Nadal's win balance (2022): 39-7

Nadal win balance (hard indoors): 0-1

Current Fritz rating: 9

Fritz (2022) win balance: 43-19

Fritz win balance (hard indoors): 4-3

Statistical facts on the Nadal vs. Fritz match:
Nadal has won six of his ten first-round matches at the Summits.  

Fritz has been successful in four of his last five matches for odds between 2.00 and 3.00.

Nadal vs. Fritz in head-to-head meetings:
2-1 in favor of Nadal. They exchanged wins this season. First Fritz on hard (6:3, 7:6), then Nadal on grass (3:6, 7:5, 3:6, 7:5, 7:6).

Rafael Nadal - Taylor Fritz match prediction:
Well, if you believe even in Nadal getting out of the group, you are very, very big optimists. Why? The questionable form of the Spaniard, who has played one official match since early September. The birth of a child, which has certainly taken away from tennis both physically and emotionally. The very fact of the Final Tournament, which he has never won and will never win. In Auger's group, Aliasim and Fritz, who have been chopping it up on a season-by-season basis: one went five sets at RG, the other upsets at Indian Wells and played five sets at Wimbledon.

What about Fritz? He had the best season of his career. Had a slump at USO, but then regained more or less adequate form, winning the five-setter in Tokyo. In principle, his outright failures in Vienna and Paris are not so important, since the rivals are the current Nadal. Well, really, the American is mentally ready to fight and beat such a formidable vis-a-vis. The local court is perfect for Taylor's style, given his powerful serve and flat baseline shots.

Nadal has lost two of his last three opening-round matches at the Total. In 2017, he lost to Goffin and withdrew; in 2019, he lost to Zverev in two sets. This is a typical story for a "fractured" Spaniard near the end of the season. There are far more questions about his form now than in those years. Fritz is obliged to close such a "problematic" Rafa in a fast indore.

THE MATCH WILL START IN EXACTLY  24 HOURS 34MINUTES!!!
BELOW YOU CAN SEE THE EXACT CET (CENTRAL EUROPEAN TIME) AT THE TIME OF PUBLICATION OF THIS FORECAST.

[Maniés]

Benfica vs Gil Vicente

In total, the teams played 7 matches against each other. From these meetings, Benfica emerged victorious in 5 matches, while Gil Vicente emerged victorious in 2 matches. The fact that the 0 games ended in a draw should also not be overlooked. The last time the teams identified the strongest February 2, 2022, that meeting ended with the score 1:2. For all 7 matches, they scored 14-4 for each other.

Benfica has won 11 matches with 0 defeats and 1 draws for 12 matches within Primeira Liga. The club has a very enviable season average (2.8 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded per game).

Gil Vicente will enter the next round as the main loser of the season, since after 12 matches it takes the 16 place in the table. So far this team has only managed to earn 9 points. The numbers 7 in the defeats graph 2 wins, 3 draws clearly does not inspire much optimism. If you look at the statistics of goals scored and conceded, it becomes clear why they scored so few points: 0.8 - 1.5 goals per game, respectively. Let's see if the club will manage to somehow rectify the situation, although it is hard to believe in this, to be honest, so far.

Teams clearly do not intend to just give points to their opponent. Such matches are filled with intrigue and unexpected outcomes.

 My bet: Under 3.25 goals with 2.090 odds

[steveo]

NFL 

Dallas VS Greenbay - november 13 

Observation- Dallas is 6-2 and Greenbay is 3-6. Greenbay has been playing very bad this year they just cant seem to get it together, Dallas has a strong defense and are on a 3 game winning streak. I feel in this matchup Dallas is just better and on a better run so today im going with Dallas for the win. Dallas rushing game is too good for Greenbays defence to stop and Greenbay seems to not be able to score much with the aveage 17.5 points a game

 

Prediction is Dallas to win at 1.51