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BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 10/11/2022


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*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score


Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.


The Prize pool is tiered,

First Place will win 200€,

Second Place 100€,

Third place 50€.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/


Post your picks in the comment below.

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Italy - Serie A

Hellas Verona FC vs. Juventus-- November 10, 2022 at 13:30 (atlantic time)

Observation- Juventus is comming into this game as a big favorite, there last 15 fixtures have seen a 2 goal average, scoring 26 goals in the 15 games.  Juventus' struggles at home, where they have conceded more goals than they have scored so far this season. So with Juventus struggling at home and Hellas the one team that is matched up good against them and can beat them. In there last 5 match ups every game but 1 produced a score on both sides. Hellas has scored against 4 out of 5 of there last opponents and Juventus scored 5 out of there last 5 matches . with that being said both these teams should score and score a lot, so there's 2 options either both teams to score or over 1.5 goals but over 1.5 is 1.3 odds which also tells me both will score.

Prediction is both teams to score at 1.96 

b8c5d5cf6a3163833013919191502d46.png

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Talking of curve balls I am having a cricket pick, India V's England in the T20 World cup in Australia tomorrow morning and I think this should be an easy win for inform India. The bookies have India as 53% favorites to win and with former captain Virat Kohli showing some tremendous stats I think this should be even higher. The temperature is expected to be high, so this again will suit the Indian Players and really I think an Indian win is a formality. Suryakumar and Kohli are the tournaments leading run hitters with close to five hundred between them in this competition alone. The run rate is also amazing so England bowlers be prepared to be hit for 6.

Pick India Win @1.80 on Bet365

516881868_Screenshotfrom2022-11-0915-36-28.png.93c5ed7f614d3a6ae61d0e593b60cd36.png

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On Sunday, November 6, Braga was defeated by Casa Pia, 1-0, in a duel for the twelfth round of the Portuguese Championship. He suffered the goal of Rafael Martins at 23 minutes of the first stage and could not give back. It was not, however, for lack of trying. Having had control of the ball for 64% of the time, he developed 28 opportunities to shoot throughout the match, and eight of them had the right direction. They were intercepted by goalkeeper Ricardo Batista.

Moreirense was in the First Division of the Portuguese Championship until last season. However, it did not manage to stay. It is doing, however, a campaign in the Portugal League 2 able to make your time to stay downstairs as short as possible. On Saturday, November 5, playing at home, they beat Porto's B team, 3-2, in a match for the twelfth round of the 2022/2023 season of the tournament. In the Portuguese Cup, it needed to start work a little earlier than Braga, but it also had the benefit of not having to open its contest from the initial stage. It began to sweat in the second round, the 64th round stage. They beat, playing as visitors, Lajeadense 3-1. In the third stage, this time with the possibility of winning the match, they beat Vilafranquense 3-0.

image.png.7e61232f3c9a0ce15c050b6cf55ae5ee.png My bet: Moreirense to score more than 0.5 goals 

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Real Madrid at the end of the first part of the season began to misfire more and lost points twice in a row in the championship matches in matches with not the most significant opponents. However, these failures will clearly add motivation to them before the arrival of one of the main outsiders of the table, although one should not forget that Cadiz was able to beat Atlético at home not so long ago. After defeating another Madrid club, Cadiz did not lose on the road to the strong Getafe and significantly improved its standings. The club has almost got out of the relegation zone, but it will be extremely difficult for guests to count on points in Madrid. Yes, the team stopped losing as often as at the start of the championship, but the difference in class between the teams is simply huge.

My betting pick will be total over 2.5 goals 1.86 odds.

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=> Manchester United win 1.68 odds.

Match starts after 25 hours. Manchester United in the last round of the championship lost to Aston Villa on its field, although the guests were frankly unlucky there, because they created a lot. Despite this, MUN are in good condition in autumn and are quite convincing in all confrontations. And in their arena, the club practically does not lose points at all, having not lost five matches in a row at home and having only drawn once during this period. As for the success of Aston Villa, everything is much more modest. Yes, the Birminghams managed to outplay the opponent in the Premier League match, but this is more like an accident, and the home field factor clearly had an impact on the result. The team is far behind the European Cup zone in the championship and can hardly count on a successful end to the season, because on the road its results are completely unimpressive. In my opinion, Manchester United is superior, plays at home and has a great desire to take revenge for defeat in the championship. Aston Villa looks very bad in away matches and is quite capable of failing in a cup match.

D4AA4E43-11BE-4030-A192-15E3D1E957F6.thumb.png.774a56bc236ec46e645a4d256533619a.png

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3 hours ago, Garf79 said:

Talking of curve balls I am having a cricket pick, India V's England in the T20 World cup in Australia tomorrow morning and I think this should be an easy win for inform India. The bookies have India as 53% favorites to win and with former captain Virat Kohli showing some tremendous stats I think this should be even higher. The temperature is expected to be high, so this again will suit the Indian Players and really I think an Indian win is a formality. Suryakumar and Kohli are the tournaments leading run hitters with close to five hundred between them in this competition alone. The run rate is also amazing so England bowlers be prepared to be hit for 6.

Pick India Win @1.80 on Bet365

516881868_Screenshotfrom2022-11-0915-36-28.png.93c5ed7f614d3a6ae61d0e593b60cd36.png

yes India win 🏆 ❤️

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Valentin Royer vs Hugo Gaston
Valintin Royer will win handicap +4.5 (games) at pinnacle odds 1.82

Screenshot_2022-11-09-22-48-39-319_com.android.chrome.thumb.jpg.e63c080883c749a9ef42681002e59ccb.jpg


My prediction:
One month later, Hugo Gaston will once again meet a progressing compatriot and so far a regular on the Challenger circuit named Valentin Royer. True, Hugo Gaston, too, has been stuck on Challengers lately, as he stopped bringing out the higher level. Eh, just as if Valentin Royer were not in trouble again then, as in Muyeron-le-Captivet.

Coverage: hard indoors

Coverage speed: 8/10

Current Royer rating: 336

Royer win balance (2022): 51-24

Royer win balance (hard indoors): 13-5

Current Gaston rating: 132

Gaston (2022) Victory Balance: 24-29

Gaston's win balance (hard indoors): 12-9

Statistical Facts for Royer - Gaston:
Royer has four wins in six previous bouts against higher-ranked opponents.

Gaston has won three of the last five meetings with his compatriots.

Royer vs Gaston in head-to-head encounters:
The two Frenchmen have met twice in the past. Both on outdoor and indoor Gaston was stronger than Royer in two sets.

Valentin Royer vs Hugo Gaston:
I would like to start with the fact that the bookmakers for a completely unknown reason decided to slightly increase the odds on Royer's win. Why not? Because not much has happened since the last meeting and the balance of power has not changed. And if it has, it's not in favor of Gaston. Sim needs to take advantage, because Valentin may be winning hard in Roan, but he continues to progress and show character with all his might. At the same time Hugo quickly dealt with Alexander Lazarov, but his serve didn't work at all, so don't overestimate the importance of such an easy win.

In the next French encounter the playing conditions will be very similar to the ones in Muyeron-les-Captiv, that's why we dare to assume that Rouillé will be able to strain Gaston with a confident serve holding and keep the plus-sum game.

THE MATCH WILL START IN EXACTLY  24 HOURS!!!
BELOW YOU CAN SEE THE EXACT CET (CENTRAL EUROPEAN TIME) AT THE TIME OF PUBLICATION OF THIS FORECAST.

IMG_20221109_230016.thumb.jpg.c5fdb530e575741ce7b2b87f1ae88b20.jpg

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1. Nikoloz Basilashvili started in Roan with a difficult win over Antoine Hoan, beating the Frenchman in three sets (7-6, 4-6, 6-2). It was only the third victory of the Georgian tennis player on indoor hard this year.

2. Nikoloz is generally having a weak season. Only in one tournament did he manage to show a more or less good result. At the beginning of the year, Basilashvili managed to reach the final at the hard tournament in Doha, where he lost to Roberto Bautista-Agut (3-6, 4-6).

3, Matthias Bourgue made it to the main draw of the tournament in Roan through qualification, where he lost just one set. It happened in a match against  Arthur Bourges (5-7, 7-6, 6-0).

4. In the main draw of the competition, Mathias confidently dealt with Denis Evseev in two sets (6-3, 6-2). Mathias this season has pretty good results on indoor hard - ten wins with three defeats. At the end of October, Matthias Bourgue managed to qualify for the semi-finals at one of the starts.

Bet: total over 21.5 games
Odd: 1.75
Time: 10:00 PM CEST 10th november 2022

IMG_20221110_021216_169.thumb.jpg.dd078bea095166e1bf868020747c2b79.jpg

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