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BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 8/11/2022


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*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score


Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.


The Prize pool is tiered,

First Place will win 200€,

Second Place 100€,

Third place 50€.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/


Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

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Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
Total over 21.5 odds on pinnacle 2.06

Screenshot_2022-11-07-15-28-06-001_com.android.chrome.thumb.jpg.81a23d62382f33573bcad635b0a15dce.jpg

My prediction:
Trungelliti has reached the final twice this season on the Grand Slam Challengers. The tennis player will start in Montevideo with a match against Cecchinato. The Italian has won two 2022 Grand Slam Challengers, and reached the semifinals in Guayaquil last week.

Coverage: Grass

Cover speed: 4/10

Current Trungelliti rating: 231

Trungelliti Victory Balance (2022): 25-19

Trungelliti (ground) win balance: 18-14

Current Cecchinato rating: 109

Cecchinato win balance (2022): 44-33

Cecchinato's win balance (ground): 44-30

Statistical facts about Trungelliti v Cecchinato:
Seven of Trungelliti's last ten encounters with opponents above him in the ATP rankings have been played in 21 games or less.

Cecchinato had not lost a game in seven of his last ten clay matches.

Face-to-face meetings between Trungelliti and Cecchinato:
Cecchinato has already outplayed his opponent three times on the dirt. The last time was in 2018 in the semifinals of the ATP tournament in Umag - 6:2, 6:1.

Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato match prediction:
Trungelliti has not played many tournaments this season. At the ATP level he qualified for the main draw at the Australian Open, and he did the same at an Indore tournament in Gijon in early October. On the Challengers, Marco played in the finals in Santo Domingo and Madrid.

Cecchinato, on the other hand, had a poor start to the season with 11 straight losses. He bounced back in the second half of the season, reaching the quarter-finals at the ATP tournament in Umaga and then winning the Challenger event in Lisbon and Rio de Janeiro in October. Cecchinato made it from the qualifiers to the semi-finals in Guayaquil last week without losing a single game.

Both players have strong serves, on which they won 78% of their games in 2022, and have problems on receptions, especially the first serve. Trungelliti has traditionally performed well on the ground Challengers, while his opponent is now in optimal shape. Therefore, we should expect a hard-fought match.

THE MATCH WILL START IN EXACTLY  24 HOURS 8 MINUTES!
BELOW YOU CAN SEE THE EXACT CET (CENTRAL EUROPEAN TIME) AT THE TIME OF PUBLICATION OF THIS FORECAST.

Screenshot_2022-11-07-17-51-59-184_com.android.chrome.thumb.jpg.664bc4c3349157eb0d905294c5f8e3c6.jpg

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NCAA (football) Tuesday, November 8, 2022 at 20:30 (atlantic time)

Ohio Bobcats @ Miami Ohio Redhawks 

Observation- Ohio Bobcats are averaging 33.5 points a game and the Redhawks are averaging 19 points a game. The bobcats are getting about 100 more yards a game and are in first place in the East division with 6 wins 3 loses but are on a 4 game winning streak. The RedHawks are in 4th with a 4 win and a 5 loses score so far. The Redhawks are losing to teams that the Bobcats are destroying so it should be a easy win for them. The over in this game is looking juicy as well but i'm not putting faith in Redhawks to keep up as the bobcats seem to be able to keep the opposing at a low score (most times) but still the average for the bobcats points allowed is over 30 but the over/under is set at 50 ..to high. 

Prediction is  Ohio Bobcats to win at 1.81 pinnacle

a9788d5a05773cc3960e081b79c72804.png

Edited by steveo
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Just now, steveo said:

NCAA (basketball) Tuesday, November 8, 2022 at 20:30 (atlantic time)

Ohio Bobcats @ Miami Ohio Redhawks 

Observation- Ohio Bobcats are averaging 33.5 points a game and the Redhawks are averaging 19 points a game. The bobcats are getting about 100 more yards a game and are in first place in the East division with 6 wins 3 loses but are on a 4 game winning streak. The RedHawks are in 4th with a 4 win and a 5 loses score so far. The Redhawks are losing to teams that the Bobcats are destroying so it should be a easy win for them. The over in this game is looking juicy as well but i'm not putting faith in Redhawks to keep up as the bobcats seem to be able to keep the opposing at a low score (most times) but still the average for the bobcats points allowed is over 30 but the over/under is set at 50 ..to high. 

Prediction is  Ohio Bobcats to win at 1.81 pinnacle

a9788d5a05773cc3960e081b79c72804.png

not basketball ops its football 

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=> Both team to score YES 1.58 odds..

Bochum plays against Borussia Monchengladbach. MATCH IS AFTER 25 HOURS AND 46 MINUTES. I think Bochum will definitely score in this match. Yes, they lost away to Borussia but from Dortmund, but they managed to score, but the goal was canceled. then lost to Wolfsburg. But at home they play a little better. Out of 6 matches - 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. at home defeated Union, strong Eintracht Frankfurt, played with Cologne. Borussia Monchengladbach have missed a lot this season, they have 3 defeats in 4 league games. In the last game they beat Stuttgart but again conceded goal, before that they also lost to Union on the road to Eintracht Frankfurt and to Darmstadt in the German Cup. I think both can score in this match.

44CAABB8-8392-423D-B0DB-DA1ECB191AFE.thumb.png.91b3e236892a008360c95a9b88ad63a8.png

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Taking a bit of calculated risk with this pick and no Premier league Games on Tuesday, instead the EFL cup matches are being played and this competition see's teams from lower divisions playing some of the top clubs and competing for the trophy. The match I am going for is very much like this where Brentford who are doing ok in 11th place in Premier League host Gillingham who are 20th in league 2 which is 3 leagues below the Premier league. This is an east suburb v's west suburb of London derby and should be a pretty fierce match, I think Brentford should easily come out on top even though they will be resting a lot of 1st team players. I think there is a very good chance that Gillingham will at least get a consolation goal though, this means that both teams will score. So my pick is both Teams to score in the Brentford V's Gillingham game @2.37 on Bet365.

1730993535_Screenshotfrom2022-11-0718-55-43.thumb.png.20f5d916694d0132b28c21cef120caf6.png

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Livingston scored nineteen points in the Scottish Championship. With them, they are on the eighth rank, yielding to St. Mirren from a position higher. Recently, they have been playing unstably - alternating different results. In five matches, they had two wins and losses, as well as one draw Aberdeen in the championship of Scotland is above its rival - in third place. For thirteen matches they were able to score less pts. However, it will not be so easy for them to catch up with the leaders - they have lost points a couple of times two defeats in five matches. But in other matches recently , Aberdeen only won.
My betting pick will be Over 2.5 goals yes for 2.25 odds.

01C0FB88-3EC1-43AE-B4C9-1F7BD83CBB0E.thumb.jpeg.de83b17816c3ab6c119fc79020a59f69.jpeg

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1. Bournemouth is losing ground - the team has fallen into a black stripe. Before this game, they lost to Tottenham (2:3), after which they lost to Leeds on the away (3:4).

2. For 14 matches of the current championship of the Premier League championship they got up three wins and four draws, which is  13 points and 17th position in the standings.

3. The attack played very poorly, while they conceded an unacceptable lot - more than two goals on average. Brooks, Kelly and Neto, who has a hip injury, will not be able to play today.

4. At the first stage of the English League Cup, Everton outplayed Fleetwood (1:0) very modestly, which brought them a ticket to this stage of the trophy. In the English Championship, after 14 matches, the team has three wins and five draws, which brought 14 points and 16th place in the standings.

5. After defeating Crystal Palace (3:0), Evertonh took away points from Fulham (0:0) and lost at home to Leicester (0:2). Calvert-Lewin, Godfrey, Mina and Townsend, who has a knee injury, will not be able to play today.


Bet: Both team to score= Yes
Odd: 1.793
Time: 10 PM CEST, 8TH NOVEMBER.

IMG_20221108_014748_439.thumb.jpg.5214c77b982eeb3b9ae223d999b8fa32.jpg

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Mafra VS Porto

This match is scheduled to start at 8 November at 8:45 PM. There is no doubt that this match will be eventful. 

The current title holder, Porto will go against a 2nd division team that not even the most part of the people have heard about, as known and expected, both teams are going for the win on this match for a chance to get upper in the league and fight for the title. 

Mafra is a team from the middle of the 2nd league with 15 points. Mafra has conceded in 14 of the last 15 home games, conceded in the 1st half in each of their last 6 home games and have been over 4.5 yellow cards in 5 of the last 6 Mafra home games in the Taça de Portugal.

Porto stands in the 2nd position of the 1st league just behind Benfica by 8 points. The team won't be sparing the little ones, and i believe it will end the dreams of Mafra with just the 1st half played. Porto has scored in each of their last 28 Taca de Portugal games, scored in the 1st half in 12 of the last 14 Taca de Portugal games and have been over 4.5 yellow cards in 11 of the last 12 Porto games.

image.png.8aed87f2ecff46a8ee256be0b3d7f07a.png My bet: Above 1.25 goals by the 1st half with 1.980 odds

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