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BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 3/11/2022


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*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score


Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.


The Prize pool is tiered,

First Place will win 200€,

Second Place 100€,

Third place 50€.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/


Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

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MOUZ NXT VS FNATIC RISING

In the semi-finals of https://www.hltv.org/events/6860/mistgames-heroes-of-tomorrow-fall-2022 

jimpphat and his minions will soon face off against the ‘always the bookmaker’ favourite - FNATIC RISING!

So far into this tournament, jimpphat has defeated OG Academy and Flames Ascent 2-1 and 2-0 respectively. Yes, he solo carried hard both games as usual 😕

MOUZ NXT has always been a hit or miss, some days his team would do well and the next play worse than anything you’ve ever seen before. However, you can always count of jimpphat to save the day! His clutches, frags, and openings has always been the core reason why his team still exist. 
 

FNATIC RISING -

Alright! Things are now back to normal because peppzor is returning after some games at RIO.

In their last two games, FNATIC RISING was the favourite at 1.67 against PROSPECTS. They lost 0-2 and displayed very disappointing results. All members had the same stats including their substitute AdamS.

Against VOID however, they won 2-0 (as favourites). 
AdamS carried and had a lot of impact. VOID who was the inferior team stood no chance.

 

MY PREDICTION:

H2H matches show both teams are equals at 1-1.

Last H2H game a week ago resulted in FNATIC RISING victory at 16-5 because jimpphat’s minions sucked hard.

Now that it’s a BO3 there is no way of telling what could happen since both teams are so incredibly inconsistent. It would be wiser to bet on the total rounds on each map or final score line.

FNATIC rising has the advantage in the mappool but MOUZ is much greater at overpass and Vertigo. 

OVER 2.5 MAPS because both teams perform better when it comes to their picks. 3rd map will be 50/50.

E34624B0-8C8F-4790-B9BF-DDBA7A3D14C1.thumb.png.d5cbdd696de5b57149be4393522a7b97.png

 

 

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Europa League and I am breaking my own rules by picking the team that I support, Real Sociadad V's Man Utd and I am going for a Utd win. Sociadad are doing ok in La Liga and have won 3 of their last matches but Utd are also doing good and are starting to look a bit like a Man Utd team of the past. There is a massive incentive  to win this match as if they do not win the group then they will play a team that gets knocked out of the Champions League and there are some big clubs that did not make it through. Even though Utd are playing away and Sociadad have the home advantage I think Utd with Casemiro will be too strong, I think his influence in this game will be massive and I think he may even score as long as he is fit and picked to play. So my pick is Man Utd win @2.20 on Bet365.

1264675909_Screenshotfrom2022-11-0215-38-10.thumb.png.c4823205e5e32e7633ed8901e3efccf0.png

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=> Qarabag win 1.99 odds.

Lets bet on Europa League, match is after 25 hours. Qarabag will face Freiburg. Qarabag lost to Nantes last week, and now the exit from the group is in doubt. They can afford to play in the championship with a semi-reserve squad. Ozobic, Kadi, Owusu, Zubir, Richard, Medina, all played minimum minutes and got rest. Freiburg secured first place and advanced from the group. They have a heavy hand in the championship and have to play three games in a week, and even with competitors. Therefore, the leaders will rest with the guests: Flecken, Ginter, Gunther, Grifo, Gregoritsch. Qarabag plays at home, now the hosts are quite competitive in Europe. In short, the motivation of the Qarabag, the rested leaders and the unmotivated and semi-reserve Freiburg. Qarabag shoukd win this.

47ECE117-8C59-4A70-88A9-D583E91D3145.thumb.png.c833516cbe2d10cb5a99a8561bf2b14d.png

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The Portuguese club started the tournament quite strongly, but then slowed down, gaining only a point against Saint-Gillois and losing to Union in the last round 0-1. The Portuguese have a good squad, where there are several players who tried out for the Portuguese national team. But now not everything depends on them. Even a victory over Malmo does not guarantee entry into the playoffs.

The Swedes do not shine in the national championship, and they have not scored a single point in the Europa League. In the last round, Malmo lost 0-2 to Saint-Gillois. A couple of seasons ago, the team played and fought to get out of the Champions League group stage, and now it loses to everyone in a weaker tournament.

The hosts must confirm their own and win with the largest possible score. In case of equality of points with the Union, you will have to count the difference of goals with it. The guests will resist, but they are unlikely to resist in this match.

image.png.7da70120b5f9f3a5b8ead588831552b4.png My bet: Less than 10 corners with 1.909 odds

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Lokomotiv returned to the home arena, where they continued to show excellent results. The team met with Torpedo and did not allow the opponent to score a single puck. It is worth praising the goalkeeper Bocharov, who saved all 25 shots, thus making a cracker. Then they played with the Minsk and again got a victory. Bocharov turned out to be unshakable in this fight as well. Indeed, at home, they show their best side and have not lost for five matches already. Metallurg Magnitogorsk nevertheless interrupted its winning streak, which reached four matches. they had a match with the Moscow Dynamo and failed to win having suffered a crushing defeat. My betting pick will be Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win 1.84 odds.

AAB10A6F-A4BF-4A9C-9E2B-6904B26F7BE4.thumb.jpeg.c8bab8ec5fd376efeec1f8eb6a19ed7a.jpeg

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1. Real Betis have already decided everything for themselves in Group C of the Europa League. With 13 points, the team guaranteed a place in the playoffs from the first line. Ludogorets and Roma are six points behind Betis In all five matches, they lost points only once - a draw with Roma (1: 1).

2. In the home league, they also doing well. Now the team is in fourth place, behind Atletico. Betis would go even higher in La Liga, but in the last mTches the club lost points several times, including losing to Atletico 1:2.

3. HJK is now doing worse than his opponent in this match. The team is on a three-game losing streak in all competitions. Twice during this period, they lost in the Europa League - 0:2 with Ludogorets and 1:2 with Roma. In the group, they no longer has a chance of getting into the playoffs, even the Conference League. For five match, They scored only one point - 1:1 with Ludogorets. Rivals above lead HJK by six points.

4. In the home championship, the team is still in the lead. However, recently They also lost points twice.

Bet: Under 3.5 goals

Odds: 1.534

Time: 4th November 10 PM CESTIMG_20221103_005303_130.thumb.jpg.6215d938831a164ccd239c6089d6fd7c.jpg

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NFL

Philadelphia Eagles VS  Houston Texans

Observation- well lets start off by saying holy philly has not lose a game yet 7-0-0 WOW and Houston is 1-5-1 ... lol fair match up ... i know that houston is a very defencive team and keeps games close. Almost every game houston lost was close and 8 out the last 10 games were under 45 adding both teams totals. Philly is hot but not 6 touchdowns hot and houston wont score much against them as well. Looking back at philly last games they are scoring a lot but against week defencive teams and when playing tough defences the normaly score 2 touchdowns max and maybe a kick so 7+7+3+3=20 and houston seems to be struggling to get 1 touchdown and 1 kick a game 7+3+3 =13 so 20 +13 = 33 still 15 off of 48 so i feel like the under here is a lock

Prediction is under 47.5 for 1.73

 

93d54fa6c1886b703f811bad50996ccc.png

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Jessica Pegula VS Aryna Sabalenka
TOTAL OVER 20.5 ODDS 1.75

image.png.4f87a576c541a98ff7f86515d3d0f198.png

image.png.e5f10a9af83847b94443e23b656e0d33.png

Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka will meet on the court in the Final Tournament. Pegula has a small chance of making the playoffs, for that she must shut out Sabalenka in two sets and hope that Jaber loses to Saccari. That outcome is possible, but unlikely. Sobolenko is determined to fight, unlike Pegula, Aryna got one win. The Belarusian needs to beat Jessica and hope for a win for Jaber over Saccari. This match Pegula clearly will not give up, she fights hard and gives her best in every match, despite the fact that initially the American was more passive in this competition. 

Coverage: Hard indoors

Coverage speed: 7/10

Pegula's current rating: 3

Pegula's win balance (2022): 43-20

Pegula's win balance (hard indoors): 1-3

Sabalenka current rating: 7

Sabalenka (2022) win balance: 31-21

Sabalenka's win balance (hard indoors): 1-1

Statistical facts for the match Jaber - Pegula:
Jessica Pegula finished with a TB (20) in both of her matches at the 2022 Final Tournament. 

Aryna Sabalenka has lost four of her last five matches to top-10 opponents. 

Jaber vs. Pegula:
3-1 in head-to-head encounters, Sabalenka dominates. Aryna won her last three matches on clay. 

Forecast for the Jessica Pegula - Aryna Sabalenka match:
Sobolenko plays powerfully and actively, but makes enough mistakes, can easily give up the initiative and lose a set. There is no stability in the Belorussian play, while Pegula focuses on reliability. She looks better in long draws, plays more varied on the back line. We think that the American will give Sabalenka some problems and will put up a fight.

THE MATCH WILL START IN EXACTLY 24 HOURS 15 MINUTES!
BELOW YOU CAN SEE THE EXACT CET (CENTRAL EUROPEAN TIME) AT THE TIME OF PUBLICATION OF THIS FORECAST.

image.thumb.png.f7f8f913c9aa6663c67fd4a3c3b360fa.png

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13 hours ago, Arou said:

Jessica Pegula VS Aryna Sabalenka
TOTAL OVER 20.5 ODDS 1.75

image.png.4f87a576c541a98ff7f86515d3d0f198.png

image.png.e5f10a9af83847b94443e23b656e0d33.png

Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka will meet on the court in the Final Tournament. Pegula has a small chance of making the playoffs, for that she must shut out Sabalenka in two sets and hope that Jaber loses to Saccari. That outcome is possible, but unlikely. Sobolenko is determined to fight, unlike Pegula, Aryna got one win. The Belarusian needs to beat Jessica and hope for a win for Jaber over Saccari. This match Pegula clearly will not give up, she fights hard and gives her best in every match, despite the fact that initially the American was more passive in this competition. 

Coverage: Hard indoors

Coverage speed: 7/10

Pegula's current rating: 3

Pegula's win balance (2022): 43-20

Pegula's win balance (hard indoors): 1-3

Sabalenka current rating: 7

Sabalenka (2022) win balance: 31-21

Sabalenka's win balance (hard indoors): 1-1

Statistical facts for the match Jaber - Pegula:
Jessica Pegula finished with a TB (20) in both of her matches at the 2022 Final Tournament. 

Aryna Sabalenka has lost four of her last five matches to top-10 opponents. 

Jaber vs. Pegula:
3-1 in head-to-head encounters, Sabalenka dominates. Aryna won her last three matches on clay. 

Forecast for the Jessica Pegula - Aryna Sabalenka match:
Sobolenko plays powerfully and actively, but makes enough mistakes, can easily give up the initiative and lose a set. There is no stability in the Belorussian play, while Pegula focuses on reliability. She looks better in long draws, plays more varied on the back line. We think that the American will give Sabalenka some problems and will put up a fight.

THE MATCH WILL START IN EXACTLY 24 HOURS 15 MINUTES!
BELOW YOU CAN SEE THE EXACT CET (CENTRAL EUROPEAN TIME) AT THE TIME OF PUBLICATION OF THIS FORECAST.

image.thumb.png.f7f8f913c9aa6663c67fd4a3c3b360fa.png

and you post this in topic for 3.11.?

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1 hour ago, AlphaGambler said:

and you post this in topic for 3.11.?

Yes, I already figured it out, your assistant @Garf79 explained it to me clearly.

Edited by Arou
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