BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 1/11/2022

[AlphaGambler]

*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.

The Prize pool is tiered,

First Place will win 200€,

Second Place 100€,

Third place 50€.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/

Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

[Sumit]

=> Both team to score yes 1.81 odds…

Verona started the season very badly. The team is in 19th place with 5 points and onely win over Sampdoria. Verona last scored points, just in the match that I mentioned earlier. The team has a much number of injuries, there was also a change of coach. There is still a long way to go before the situation is overcomed. Roma tries to fight on two fronts. The main task in the domestic arena is to get into the Champions League. The team copes with it quite successfully. In the case of today's victory, the Romans climb to 4th place. But not everything is so easy. The team takes 3rd place in the group and runs the risk of being relegated to the LC. I think both team will score.

[Garf79]

Champions League on Tuesday and the games tonight will be different to some degree because some of the teams have already qualified. However there is a bonus for finishing top of the group in that you play the runners up of the group in the next round. So my pick for Tuesday is the Porto V's Athletico Madrid game and Madrid are out with nothing left but pride to play for, I think Porto will want to get first place in the group and they need to do this by beating Madrid and Bruges losing or drawing. So my pick for Tuesday's Champion league action is FC Porto win @2.37 on Bet365.

[Maniés]

In October, Porto lost only to Benfica in the domestic championship (0:1), and on the second front it reached the playoffs ahead of schedule thanks to three matches won. The Portuguese do not seek to have the ball for a long time. Although this does not prevent you from acting effectively both defensively and offensively. Last weekend, the guys did not put the squeeze on Santa Clara (1:1). However, we are not talking about a serious regression.

In the previous round of La Liga, Atlético sensationally lost to Cadiz (2:3), which led to a more solid lag behind Real Madrid and Barcelona. In European competitions, representatives of Spain will also not rise above third place. Therefore, you will not envy the current state of affairs at all. Previously, the defense of the "red and white" was rightly considered a real fortress, but now things have declined. Diego Simeone is trying to use different tactical schemes, but this does not lead to a rapid improvement in results.

 My bet: Above 2.75 goals with 2.330 odds

[steveo]

NHL

Nashville VS Edmonton

Observation- Edmonton is 6-3-1 and has a 4 goal per game average so far and are second in the league in goals. They are also second in the league in powerplay goals. Edmonton is lacking in there defence as they are letting in 3 goals a game same as Nashville but Edmonton's offence is slightly better and they are on a better run as Nashvillie is only 3-5-1. The last match up was 4-0 for edmonton i feel this game will be the same. Edmonton's goalie Jack Campbell is 4-2-0 and has a 3.88 Goals Against Average, he is letting a few in but is clutch when game is tight.

Prediction is that edmonton will win and the odds are 1.62 (pinnacle) 

 

[ArvindDass]

Van De Zandschulp has a powerful serve and skillful play in quick draw, but he does not excel at the back line. He is only 27, there are no significant trophies in a high-level career. In the last month, the tennis player got under Djokovic and Alcaraz, beat Mannarino .. Of his weakness, a large number of double faults and a drop in the result for aces in matches with opponents who like to play on the back line are striking. Now Dimitrov plays equally unstable on any surface, he can easily beat Rublev twice in a year and lose to Lekhechka or Johnson. Serve and one-handed backhand are still with him, as well as a confident game on the back line. But lately, he does not seek to delay the draws. In October, Dimitrov reached the semi-finals in Vienna, losing only to Medvedev, who was gaining top form.
My betting pick will be total over 22.5 games.

[PupperChan]

Alright then, the entire universe is seriously against me right now. The games I put my prediction and money on gets completely flunked unexpectedly for the past 2 weeks now. Im broke.

 

Lets try this again - VITALITY vs OUTSIDERS

VITALITY:

Shifting between 1st and 2nd with FaZe is Vitality, they are known to be arguably the strongest built team great in every map, cheeky plays and strongest carry - Zywoo.

After winning the ESL pro league last month, they are still looking strong only losing to BiG, HEROIC and Astralis (all close games).

In their last match however, VITALITY surprisingly lost to GAMERLEGION. Who tf are these GL guys and how are they improving at such a rapid rate? 
 

Anyways, FORM is strong but the new player from ENCE spinx has been under performing recently for the past few matches ultimately causing them to lose many crucial rounds. Hopefully he gets back into his game this match against Outsiders.

 

OUTSIDERS:

After getting a completely new roster, they had a very slow start and was ranked at 28th some months ago… now they are 8th and have been looking very stacked recently.

Defeated ENCE, HEROIC and MOUZ last month losing only to OG and NAVI, they are the underdogs and have took down several high level teams… to think their core is the least experienced together as a team compared to everyone else is baffling.

 

MY PREDICTION:

In a BO1 this is 50/50.

hell, in this group play alone EVERYTHING has been unexpected like how some games has been weirdly one-sided to greyhound’s victory over C9.

I wouldnt be surprised if OUTSIDERS won.

So I would suggest betting on the number of maps again -

OVER 25.5 since both teams seem to be at their best and both should perform well on CT side.

 

[Arou]

Herman Casanova vs Jesper De Jong
Total over 21.5 odds 1.92

24 HOURS LEFT TO PLAY
BELOW IS A SCREENSHOT OF THE CET TIME OF THE FORECAST MADE AT THE MOMENT

Preview of the match:
In another first round match at the Challenger in Guayaquil, Argentina's Herman Casanova and Jesper De Jong from the Netherlands will play each other. Who can break his winning streak in the early rounds?

Surface: clay

Cover speed: 4/10

Current Casanova rating: 223

Casanova's win balance (2022): 49-22

Casanova (ground) win balance: 49-22

Current De Jong rating: 249

De Jong (2022) win balance: 23-28

De Jong (ground) win balance: 9-13

Statistical facts on the Casanova - De Jong match:
Casanova has lost four first-round main-set Challenger matches of its last five.

Seven of the last 10 matches between Casanova and De Jong have been decided in games played in less than 10 games.

Face-to-face meetings between Casanova and De Jong:
In the head-to-head encounter, Casanova leads 1-0. The only meeting between the two players took place on the first round of the Grand Challenger in Bolivia in March of this year where De Jong dropped the match at 4-0 in favor of Casanova in the first set.

Herman Casanova - Jesper De Jong vs.
Although Casanova has no Challenger title, as well as De Jong, the Argentine must win this meeting. The Dutchman has only played one match this fall on clay, while Casanova is the only player on this surface this year. However, we expect a long match, because the tennis players are quite similar in level, both often cannot win anything but futures and are close in the rankings. So it's unlikely they'll avoid a third set.

Edited November 1, 2022 by Arou