BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 29/10/2022

[AlphaGambler]

*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.

The Prize pool is tiered,

First Place will win 200€,

Second Place 100€,

Third place 50€.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/

Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

[PupperChan]

ASTER vs Team LIQUID

After a week break and lots of preparation, these two of the strongest teams will duke it out to decide who moves on into the finals!

ASTER: 

Suffering so many losses in the playoffs and yet they managed to reach the semi finals. Nobody expected this for happen.

While making it in the upper brackets, they defeated LIQUID and then soon after lost horribly to TUNDRA causing them to move down to the lower brackets, here, they SURPRISINGLY showed a lot of motivation and defeated PSG..?! This win against the NO.1 team in the world bought them a lot of confidence although many mistakes were made on both sides, they both still showed high levels of competency. 
 

LIQUID:

So much vigor they have.. LIQUID came so close to losing every game and still managed to make a comeback even with all odds against them. Luck or just pure skill? lol

LIQUID showed very promising results in the playoffs landing 2nd place with 13 points but was immediately eliminated by ASTER in the upper brackets sending them to the one beneath where they defeated ENTITY, OG, and THUNDER.

 

MY PREDICTION:

50/50 match. Both teams make a lot of mistakes and came back from mamy desperate situations impressively. 

 Both teams make a lot of mistakes and literally sits on the edge of getting eliminated all the time. 
In this matchup, LIQUID has played much more matches and won more than ASTER but ASTER has shown more confidence in their plays especially with that win against PSD.

Tough match. I believe it can go both ways and my prediction is UNDER 2.5 MAPS. Why? With momentum from winning the first, bans can be made to find the weakness of the other then It’ll become one-sided for either teams… With these two, that’s how it’s going to play out because they are so easily exploited.

 

 

 

[Sumit]

=> Tundra Esports win 1.74 odds

I believe Tundra will become International Champion this year! Secrets to drag Nisha, if you close it as Ori closed today in the game Aster on the second map, then you already know how it will end. As the team moves and retreats when necessary, they do not overestimate their strength, today the second match against Aster cameback. When they gave away Roman, they went to catch someone, they were not afraid to attack, other teams would wait until the aegis disappears. Tundra players read the game well. 33 and Skeeter guys are doing a great job moving together and you can see that as a team they are better than OG.

[steveo]

NHL  (oct 29)

Chicago VS Buffalo 

Observation- Both these teams come in exactly even with records of 4-3-0 and also both teams have the same goals per game percentage at 3.57 ...weird... With both goalies allowing over 3 goals a game. Diving in a little deeper Chicago in the last 5 games for Chicago they scored over 20 goals and buffalo scored 18 in the last 5. Chicago is 1ST in the league for shooting and faceoff wins, they are also 7th in the league in power plays. This looks like a over game but Buffalo seems to be losing momentum while chicago is gaining momentum. The last matchup was 3-2 for Buffalo but that was in april in preseason. uggg for some reaso Chicago is 3.00 to win.... dont know why they are at home and playing better ... so over it is 

Prediction is over 7 at 2.48 on bet portal ( cant find game this early on either pinnacle or bet365 )  

[Joshthomas]

1. Gran Canaria is a real home team. In their home courts, they have not yet lost a single match. Even Barcelona left Las Palmas empty-handed. They defeated the Catalans with a score of 88:85.
2. Gran Canaria played its last match in the Eurocup. The opponent was defeated with a score of 87:69.
3. Tenerife have the same number of wins as Gran Canaria - four. But the they are ahead of their fellow countrymen in terms of the best additional indicators. In the standings of the championship of Spain, they are on the second rank.
4. Tenerife lost the last two matches. They have slowed down a bit. First, in the Champions League, they lost to the Peristerko (81:88). After that, they failed to defeat Barcelona on the away court (65:67).

Bet: Over 155.5 

Odds: 1.9 odds.

[ArvindDass]

Marseille is in a steep peak and the results are not encouraging. Three defeats in a row in the championship dropped them from second place to 5. The gap from the same second place is only 4 points, not so much, let's not say anything about PSG. there was also a defeat in the Champions League match to Eintracht 2-1 and rolled back to last place in the group. But not everything is lost there, you can even fight for the Champions League, but you have to win on November 1 against Tottenham. But Strasbourg is also a bad opponent and such players should be beaten in any condition and at any time.

my betting pick will be Marseille win 2.28 odds.

[Maniés]

Carlos Alcaraz has faced a combined total of 14 breakpoint chances in three matches this week and conceded his serve five times. He lost the first set against Jack Draper in the first round and trailed by an early break in the second set against Botic Van De Zandschulp in the second round but was always in control against compatriot Pablo Carreno Busta in the quarterfinal.

Felix Auger Aliassime is fighting for a place in the ATP Finals, and he seems to be unfazed by pressure (which is an ominous sign for his rivals) as he looks a bit unstoppable at the moment. Since losing the first set of the campaign against the reigning ATP Sofia champion Marc-Andrea Huesler, he has won six sets in a row and dominated a couple of tough opponents in Miomir Kecmanovic and Alexander Bublik.

Felix Auger Aliassime leads 2-0 (1-0 in 2022, Davis Cup in September). Carlos Alcaraz is relatively more consistent and has performed far better (comparatively) in big matches and fellow top-10 players. However, Felix Auger Aliassime is easily the better player on indoor hard courts, and his best tennis can dominate the Spaniard in these conditions at this moment.

 My bet: Felix Auger Aliassime to win at 2.170 odds

[steveo]

16 hours ago, steveo said:

NHL  (oct 29)

Chicago VS Buffalo 

Observation- Both these teams come in exactly even with records of 4-3-0 and also both teams have the same goals per game percentage at 3.57 ...weird... With both goalies allowing over 3 goals a game. Diving in a little deeper Chicago in the last 5 games for Chicago they scored over 20 goals and buffalo scored 18 in the last 5. Chicago is 1ST in the league for shooting and faceoff wins, they are also 7th in the league in power plays. This looks like a over game but Buffalo seems to be losing momentum while chicago is gaining momentum. The last matchup was 3-2 for Buffalo but that was in april in preseason. uggg for some reaso Chicago is 3.00 to win.... dont know why they are at home and playing better ... so over it is 

Prediction is over 7 at 2.48 on bet portal ( cant find game this early on either pinnacle or bet365 )  

 

[Arou]

Magda Linette vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Elisabetta Cocciaretto win odds 2.15

Magda Linette of Poland and Elisabetta Cocciaretto of Italy will fight for the title in the decisive match of the WTA Challenger in Tampico. No one would have predicted this outcome at the beginning of the tournament because of the already strong women's group but in terms of both players, they deserve to win. Who will capture their first WTA title of the season?

Surface: Hard

Coverage speed: 8/10

Linette's current ranking: 55

Linette's win balance (2022): 37-28

Linette (hard) win balance: 22-15

Cocciaretto's current rating: 79

Cocciaretto (2022) Win Balance: 43-21

Cocciaretto (hard) win balance: 11-5

Statistical facts for Linette - Cocciaretto match:
Four of the last five matches involving Magda Linette have ended with a total of less than 21.5 games.

Elisabetta Cocciaretto has won seven of her last eight matches on hard court.

Linette - Cocciaretto face-offs:
The tennis players will cross bats for the first time in a face-to-face match.

Magda Linette vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto:
The girls knocked out the top title contenders. Linette beat Mertens and Cocciaretto beat Buzkova. It should be noted that the Italian woman's tournament path was more difficult and thorny. In addition to Buzkova, Cocciaretto defeated two other top 100 tennis players, Serrano and Zhu. At the same time in all the matches the total amount of games was more than 21.5 games. The most difficult match for Magda was against Marino, where the Pole had to be in the role of the overtaker. 

It is not easy to determine the favorite of this final, but we are inclined that the young Italian with her persistence and versatility will succeed.