BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 17/10/2022

[Maniés]

*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.

The Prize pool is tiered,

First Place will win 200€,

Second Place 100€,

Third place 50€.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/

Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

[Maniés]

Jenson Brooksby suffered his ninth opening-round defeat of the season (11-9) when he lost to compatriot Mackenzie McDonald in three sets in Florence last week. He hasn't progressed at the rate he was expected to and lacked consistency for the majority of the 2022 season.

Jack Draper was pretty much unbeatable on indoor hard courts at the Challenger level in the first half of the 2022 season, and it will be interesting to see if he can reproduce that level of performance and results on the main tour in the rest of the season.

Jack Draper leads 1-0 (6-2 6-2 in Eastbourne 2022, R1). This is a tough test for Jenson Brooksby, and he needs to be at his absolute best to clear it as Jack Draper has the weapons to cause serious damage in these conditions, and he's unbeaten in opening-round matches on the main tour in 2022 (9-0).

 My bet: Jack Draper to win with 2.100 odds

[steveo]

MLB

NY Yankees VS Cleveland Guardians 

Observation- Lets break this down. The first game of the series the Yankees won and they were pitching Gerrit Cole. Cleveland only scores 1 run but lets face it the Yankees are a intimidating team and being a playoff game 1 there are alot of gitters for Cleveland to shake off.  The second game of the series came down to the 10th inning and Cleveland won. In this game the Yankees were at home and didn't score a run in 9 innings and even in game 1 the Yankees only scored 4 runs. In game 3, The Yankees were up 2 runs going into the bottom of the ninth and Cleveland came back and won by scoring 3 runs. So Cleveland showed the can win away or at home against them already but cant beat Gerrit Cole, Which brings us to game 4. In this game the Yankees pitched Gerrit cole again and again they won 4-2 , still Arron Judge Struggling and leaving a alot of base runners left on base. So from this i can see they can only win with top notch pitching and with cole pitching yesterday todays game will be in favor of Cleveland in my eyes even tho NY Yankees are at home ( which is why they are favorites)

Prediction is Cleveland to win and knock out the Yankees at 2.33 

[PupperChan]

MOUZ NXT vs NAVI JR

In this WEPLAY groupplay series. EVERYTHING is 50/50 for BO1 matches so don't count bookmaker favoritism. Those don't matter at all. 

MOUZ NXT:

These academy teams are usually not ranked very high since they are constantly changing in between players nurturing the new talents to make it onto their main.

Ranking 234th, these guys are very questionable when making game decision and the main attention for negative criticism since they are always screwing up games that could've been theirs.

Just looking at their KD, mappool, and previous matches, it is very noticeable that these new players are not doing so great and that is understandable! These players do not have much experience together as a team and even has a benched player from PROSPECTS as a stand-in for this match! That raises a red flag, do they have enough preparation?

Probably not. Even if they did, no way they winning against NAVI Jr. 

KD is below 1 for 3 of their players.

They are at a huge disadvantage in the mappool. By this, i mean the played very few matches and have lower win-rate in 5 maps with their only good map being OVERPASS but that is always banned by NAVI JR. (gg Ig)

This is my main concern -NAVI JR:

A great team and very experienced. It would be very hard to imagine these guys losing to MOUZ NXT. 

In this groupplay, NAVI currently stands 2nd just behind fnatic rising whom they were defeated by yesterday. 

The form of these players are looking great so far. Winning quite easily and each player having impact in every game so far is a good sign of their performance.

 

MY PREDICTION:

Crazy part is - MOUZ NXT surprisingly won against Fnatic Rising yesterday which is a HUGE upset. They played so good that time but that doesn't represent their entire career so far. 

Difficult match. Very tough.

On paper however - I believe NAVI JR. is winning since they are at a huge ADVANTAGE. They are much more experience and is very good in terms of gunplay. Yesterday could be a fluke and I doubt they could pull the same thing again today. 

NAVI JR is winning!

 

 

 

[Sumit]

=> total over 23 games 2.11 odds.

I think that there will be a three-set match Both in the last matches were not impressed with the game and the result But the sparks in today's match will obviously pour like a river, primarily because of Marta Kostyuk's some hatred forr Aliaksandra Sasnovich, and, in thia match, for all Belarusians and For the Russians, Marta resorted precisely to a three-day match in her last matches, so, in my opinion, today we will also see a stubborn, long match, and yes, with a considerable number of mistakes. But this is a serious tournament of the 1000 category, so we are waiting for the appropriate surroundings and game.

[Garf79]

MLS Soccer going Western league and the match tonight Dallas V's Minnesota. I am going for a home win with FC Dallas, they have a very good home defensive record and are in 3rd position in the league, they will be looking to cement their place in the play-off's with a win. Minnesota are in 6th place and have a pretty poor defensive record and have conceded a lot more goals than they have scored. Put the home advantage in the mix and this should be a pretty strait forward win for Dallas. So my pick today is Dallas win @1.90 on Bet 3.65

[milorph]

AGO VS 9INE

This will be a fairly fast paced match. A best of 1 with a very good team such as AGO going up against a weak team like 9INE. 
 

AGO has stronger players who can win gun fights very easily and this is evidently shown in some of their clips and headshot statistics as well as kill/death ratio. They have won more matches than 9INE especially against the same mutual opponents that 9INE failed to beat like LK and FORSAKEN.

AGO is better in every way including current form, map, individual and there is nothing that 9INE holds a candle against.

AGO for 1.65

[ArvindDass]

Here I repeat again that there are no direct over favorites on inte so far, and I would not be surprised by any outcome in this match. Both that and that team need points, plus or minus equal results and plus or minus an equal game from both teams. But again, there is one new factor that inclined me in favor of OG - this is covid19 in the RNG team, according to information, the whole team got sick and this should definitely affect both the game form and morale, the Chinese are afraid of covid like fire. Royal Never Give Up had a terrible last day due to the poor physical condition of one of the key players. A lot depends on how Somnus`M will feel before the match with OG. If the situation remains the same, Og winning for sure.
My betting pick will be OG win 2.48 odd.

[Joshthomas]

1. Bernarda Pera played most successfully in summer tournaments. She managed to win titles on clay in Hamburg and Budapest. At the same time, a certain decline is noticeable in her game at the autumn starts.
2. Four tournaments in a row, Pera cannot overcome the barrier of the first round. Moreover, a week ago in San Diego, she did not cope with the qualification final.
3. Since the beginning of the year, Kvitova has shown herself most successfully in two tournaments. On grass in Birmingham, she won titles, and in August on hard in Cincinnati she reached to the final, where she failed to beat Garcia (2-6, 4-6).
4. The last time Petra performed on the tour was at home competitions in Ostrava. In the tournament bracket in the Czech Republic, with not the most convincing game, she passed Peru (6-3, 2-6, 6-4) and Bados (7-6, 6-4), but in the quarterfinals she lost to Rybakina (6-7, 4- 6).

Bet: Under 21.5 games

Odd: 1.86

 

[steveo]

22 hours ago, steveo said:

MLB

NY Yankees VS Cleveland Guardians 

Observation- Lets break this down. The first game of the series the Yankees won and they were pitching Gerrit Cole. Cleveland only scores 1 run but lets face it the Yankees are a intimidating team and being a playoff game 1 there are alot of gitters for Cleveland to shake off.  The second game of the series came down to the 10th inning and Cleveland won. In this game the Yankees were at home and didn't score a run in 9 innings and even in game 1 the Yankees only scored 4 runs. In game 3, The Yankees were up 2 runs going into the bottom of the ninth and Cleveland came back and won by scoring 3 runs. So Cleveland showed the can win away or at home against them already but cant beat Gerrit Cole, Which brings us to game 4. In this game the Yankees pitched Gerrit cole again and again they won 4-2 , still Arron Judge Struggling and leaving a alot of base runners left on base. So from this i can see they can only win with top notch pitching and with cole pitching yesterday todays game will be in favor of Cleveland in my eyes even tho NY Yankees are at home ( which is why they are favorites)

Prediction is Cleveland to win and knock out the Yankees at 2.33 

game was rained out