BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 16/10/2022

[AlphaGambler]

*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.

The Prize pool is tiered,

First Place will win 200€,

Second Place 100€,

Third place 50€.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/

Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

[PupperChan]

SPIRIT ACADEMY VS BIG ACADEMY

SPIRIT Academy:

Talked about these guys before in their match against Young Ninjas.

baaaaZzz - currently the weakest link in the roster has not been doing much impact in the last few games. Well, It's understandable since he only recently joined the team having very little prior experience. (He was in Meta4Pro, the only team before)

In the last two games against ENCE Academy and Astralis Talent. After seeing those games, I am sure he is really getting the hang of pro play and is understanding how these players perform. 

Only at 19 years old, the guy has talent so we should expect great things from him in the future!

Won against

ENCE ACADEMY 19-17

Astralis Talent 16-8

 

BiG Academy:

Ranking 67th, I can see why this team is more favored than Spirit.

Their roster consist of players that have been around for a LONG time and is, on paper - better than SPIRIT players. They have the advantage in the mappool with 5 maps having a higher winrate.

The only problem with this team is their inconsistency. They can never seem to perform the same as they did yesterday with the games before. So it is quite risky to bet on these guys. 

BiG lost to Astralis Talent yesterday because... they desperately need everyone to step up and not have 1-2 people doing all the work... This is always the case with this team. Failure to perform well individually but teamplay is quite precise.

 

MY PREDICTION:

Spirit Academy is winning. 

Although this team SHOULDN'T win especially against BiG Academy. It's worth the risk for the odds. BiG's form has been falling a lot recently. They make a lot of mistakes like dry peaking (suicide by enemy awp and bad coordination) that would eventually stack up and cause them to lose.

I dont like BiG's game decisions nor how they play, sometimes it's good but most of the time it makes me want to facepalm 100 times over.

Spirit on the other hand is getting used to their new recruit and the form of this team looks to be improving as seen in their last two games.

 

[Garf79]

Premier League action and some geat games to watch and bet on today. The match i am choosing is Liverpool V's Man City in is set to be an absolute thriller! Man City look almost unbeatable this season although Liverpool have had the best of this fixture in previous seasons. I think Man City are too strong this season and Liverpool have looked a bit shakey. Liverpool did trash Rangers 6-1 or so in the champions league which would have boosted their confidence but still I think City will be too strong on the day. Writing this now I am having doubts and thinking I should have gone for Man u to Beat Newcastle, however my pick is Man city win @1.90 on Bet365

[Sumit]

=> 

[Maniés]

Paris Saint-Germain leads the table with 26 points and is one point ahead of Lorient in ten matches. The capital team earned one point in their last Ligue 1 match, drawing 0:0 with Reims. The hosts have not lost a home game since the start of the season, with three wins and one draw in four games. PSG maintains a 26-match home unbeaten streak that began in April 2021 against Saint-Étienne.

Marseille in the last league match lost for the first time this season, losing to Ajaccio with a score of 1:2 in a home game. So the Provencals said goodbye to a nine-match unbeaten streak and are in 3rd place with 23 points. 

In 5 previous meetings of the parties, the audience did not see more than 3 goals. Summing up the prediction for PSG - Marseille, i believe that with all the high chances of the hosts to win, this statistical nuance should not be ignored. So expect no more than 3 goals scored.

 My bet: Less than 3.25 goals with 1.751 odds

[Sumit]

=> Ontario Reign will win 1.62 odds.

I decided to go to the American Hockey League. Ontario Reign hosts Bakersfield Condors. What can be said about these clubs, Ontario farm club Los Angeles Kings, Bakersfield Edmonton Oilers, which already suggests certain thoughts, the players are of a very good level and deserve each other, but Bakersfield play b to b, today they played a difficult match against Abbotsford Canucks where they lost in Overtime unfortunately and the day before, Ontario played the same team and defeated Abbotsford very easily. I wanted to enter with a handicap of 0, but something tells me that Ontario will not leave a chance for Bakersfield condors, who does not want to take risks, take a handicap bet as its not allowed here in forum so ppicking the winning bet. Good luck everyone.

[milorph]

2 hours ago, milorph said:

NeedDoctor vs OneTap

for the finals of the Jaxi League Balkan Series 2022. These two finalist will battle it out to claim 1st place for the grand prize of $5000 and the prestige. 
This is a tough match because both teams are equal in strength and are ranked very similarly. They have the same opponents which they both defeated and players whom are indifferent in terms of statistics.

 Most fans and predictions around voted for OneTaps victory because they have displayed better presentation than Doctor did. NeedDoctor has always been the dark horse/anomaly. They are very unpredictable and have fluctuated results.

So it is safer to bet on OneTap since they have better results seasonally and have a good In game leader who can carry and control the momentum of the game just by calling out clever tactics.

OneTap for 2.10x

 

I posted this on the wrong page

[Aeken]

premier League 

Crystal Palace Vs Wolves.

In todays premier league games i choose Crystal palace to win the game. Crystal palace play's this match infront of their home support and in recent meats with wolves crystal palace win 3 out of 5. Both of this two team almost bottom of the table. But my choose of Crystal palace because they are ahead of the wolves in the table and they plays more amazing football than wolves. Although they lost their last match but i hope they will back strong in this match. And they have home venue advantage in this match. So in this match Crystal Palace  will win. 

My prediction Crystal Palace win(odd 2.250)

[Arou]

Gabriel Diallo vs Michael Mmoh
Gabriel Diallo win 2.32 odds

At the Challenger in Fairfield, a pair of finalists was determined: Gabriel Diallo of Canada will fight for the title with Michael Mmoh of the United States. Both have won a trophy recently and are in very good shape.

Surface: Hard

Cover speed: 7/10

Current Diallo rating: 324

Diallo's win balance (2022): 18-6

Diallo (hard) win balance: 16-4

Current Mmoh rating: 133

Mmoh (2022) Win Balance: 35-26

Mmoh win balance (hard): 17-12

Statistical facts for Diallo - Mmoh match:
Diallo has won the last four meetings as an underdog at odds of 2.00 to 2.99.

Mmo won 12 of last 13 matches on hard.

Diallo - Mmoh face-to-face meetings:
The tennis players have never played each other.

Gabriel Diallo vs Michael Mmoh:
If we start from the favorite Mmoh, he draws 100% of the service hold as the tournament goes on, while allowing a minimum of break points. And, of course, it's clear from the statistical facts what incredible form this guy is in. So it's our job to see how ready Diallo is in his current form to cause problems for prime Mmoh. Well, the Canadian is also very good in his games, being the owner of a quality serve at under 190 centimeters tall. That said, he's making incredible progress on the baseline and playing fewer and fewer tiebreaks, although until recently it was really more of a serve from outside the top 500.

You can take as a basis the match between Mmoh and Riffis, in which the American won by a score seemingly by a margin, but his opponent had chances. At the same time, Diallo here and now is more interesting than Riffis or any other player Michael played with. This is evident in his better serve, and in his overall form over the last few weeks. 

[Joshthomas]

1. PSG is leading the standings, but Lorient scored the same number of points, Lance is two less, and today's opponent  Marseille is three less, that is, everything is quite tight.
2. PSG has stalled a little, due to injuries and a tight calendar. Of the losses in this match Kimpembe injury, Sergio Ramos disqualification, Mendes. Messi is questionable. 
3. There are also questions about the attack in terms of performance, namely, at the beginning of the season, the team scored several goals per game, the trio of Messi, Neymar, Mbappe tore apart the defense of the French clubs.
4. But recently they frankly surrendered. in the last 4 matches in the championship, the team scored 4 goals only and the last meeting with Reims ended in a draw zero zero. 
5. According to Marseille, they perform well, there are no major injuries, losses due to disqualifications, too. Well fit into the team Alexis Sanchez. Looking forward to a hard game

Bet: Under 3.5 total goals 
Odds: 1.68 

[ArvindDass]

As expected with PSG, everything is in order and the first day will be attributed to chance, OG and Liquids were beaten, and if the victory over OG does not look like something significant, then defeating strong Liquids is already an indicator of the team's class, in optimal shape, glimpses that we saw on the second game day, PSG always beats RNG from their region, and let RNG take first place in the table and show a good game, the really strong team they played with was Liquids and the game ended 1-1, according to all predictions and statistics, RNG will lose for the first time on tournament, 2-0 for PSG              My betting pick will be PSG.LSD win 2,4 odds.

[steveo]

MLB 

NY Yankees VS Cleveland  Guardians

Observation- I got to go with the yankees here for meny reasons, first off they are pitching Gerrit Cole, who is my favorite pitcher. Cole had a fair season but normally shines in playoff games EXPECALLY a elimination game his ERA for playoffs is 1.42!. Cole will make it hard for them just to get on base non-the-less score and the Yankees will take advantage and Aaron Judge needs to show up which i believe he will wake up this game . Cleveland has a 2-1 lead in the series out of 5 games  and are at home but with Cole pitching i feel they will tie the series up and bring it to game 5. As long as Cole goes 5 or 6 Innings, Cleveland wont have a chance. 

Prediction is NY Yankees  to win at 1.62 (pinnacle)