BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 11/10/2022

[AlphaGambler]

*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

 

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

 

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score
 

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.
 

The Prize pool is tiered,

First Place will win 200€,

Second Place 100€,

Third place 50€.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/
 

Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

[steveo]

MLB Playoffs

Game 1 between Philly and Atlanta

Observation- Atlanta is coming in a big favorite with 101 win and 61 loses in the regular season they are a all rounded team with both offence and defence. Max Fried is a very good pitcher for Atlanta with his stats for regular season 14 wins 7 loses with a ERA of only 2.48! Even his career ERA is 3.09 which is very impressive. Philly has just come off a sweep of St Louis but St louis did not show up and philly capitiolized. Phillys pitching is decent with Ranger Suarez starting his ERA for regular season is 3.65 and has 10 wins and 7 loses this season. The last time they played Atlantas won 8-7 in extra innings and so far philly has not one 1 series against them but has won a few games against them only once by more then 5 runs. Atlanta is just starting the playoffs being able to rest while philly had to play St louis for wild card position so Atlanta has rest and home field advantage. 

Prediction is Atlanta to win at 1.51 pinnacle 

[PupperChan]

TRICKED VS 9INE

Lately, these CS matches have been very unpredictable and odds extremely volatile. Most of the favored teams end up losing to those much weaker than them which is very surprising. I get that upsets can happen time to time but to like 90% of matches? Huge shift in the skill scaling.

TRICKED:

Having won their first match against NeedDoctor in the CCT North Europe Series, they start off very strong. From precise gunplay to the utmost proficiency in utility use, this team can prove tough for anyone in this tournament after all the training and experiences they have gone through. 

Ranking 71st, all players have a KD greater than 1 and is performing at their best.

 

9INE:

Haven't heard from them much lately... but all I know is that they have been losing a lot of their matches. 

The are only favored because in the last H2H match, they won 2-1 against Tricked 1 month ago and have been playing well these last few matches despite losing them. Perhaps they were unlucky/ the enemy was simply more 'into' the game than they were.

 

MY PREDICTION:

 

50/50 match but

I believe TRICKED will win. They are in better form and players actually now' able to get first kill unlike before.

Poland CS like 9INE has been dying (idk what happened to those guys) and their IGL: SZPERO has not been doing good. Sure he makes the right calls but the guy can't AWP.

Great odds. I personally have $40 on them.

[Garf79]

Champions League is in full swing again tonight and I was going for the Juventus match which looks a sure thing but @Aekenhas already picked it, so I am going for the Dinamo V's Salzburg match and Salzburg have had the best of the previous meetings between the two team and in 3 of the games there have been over 2.5 goals, my thinking behind my pick tonight is I am pretty sure that Dinamo will score playing at home but I think that Salzburg will win, if this happens that means thee has to be over 2.5 goals, so that is my pick Over 2.5 goals @2.00 on Bet365

[Maniés]

The confrontation of the 4th round in Group H between French PSG and Portuguese Benfica will take place at the Parc des Princes stadium in Paris. Both clubs qualify for the playoffs, despite the fact that Juventus is still in the group. Over the past 7 years, the teams have met once. The confrontation took place on October 5 in Lisbon as part of the first round match and ended in a 1-1 draw. Note that both goals were scored in the first half.

There are still disagreements in the PSG team, or rather in the attacking line. Mbappe is unhappy with Galtier's policy and cannot find contact with Neymar in any way. Hence the many problems with implementation. It should be noted that Parisians have not been able to score more than two goals for four consecutive matches.

Schmidt's wards are still doing well with building a team game, and in the championship the club is on the first line with 25 points after nine rounds. In the attack, it is worth highlighting 21 year old Gonzalo Ramos. Over the past 4 matches, the forward has scored 2 doubles, although he has not scored in the LCH yet.

Besides of the odds being against Benfica i belive that even if they lose they will be resistant and won't let PSG score as easily.

 My bet: Less than 3.35 with 1.884 odds

[Sumit]

=> Donna Vekik win 2.5 odds.

Maria Sakkari has been unstable in recent tournaments. She only play the final on the ground in Parma recently. In the other five competitions, she never won more than one match anywhere. In Ostrava, a week ago , Sakkari lost at the start. Obviously, at the end of the season, Maria is not in the best shape and it is hard to expect any achievements from her in San Diego. Donna Vekic didn't shine in North America. In total, in Washington, Toronto and US Open, she won only one match in the main draw. However, at the last matches, Donna has noticeably improved. So, in Tallinn she had a quarterfinal. And in San Diego, Vekic , without losing sets, defeat Mandlik and Davis in qualifying

[Joshthomas]

1. Golden State got off to a great start to the preseason. In the first matches that took place in Japan, they" managed to defeat Washington twice. But as soon as they returned to their homeland, the Warriors were defeated. They failed to cope with the Lakers (121:124)
2. It is worth noting that Golden State has one of the strongest defensive lines in the league. In the matches with Washington, the warriors carefully played under their ring. However, in the duel with the Lakers, something went wrong.
3. Portland hasn't played its best in recent games. They managed to get only one victory. Five days ago, they defeated maccabi (138:85).
4. In other matches, team did not impress with their results. The Trail Blazers lost in turn to the Clippers (97:102), Utah (101:118) and Sacramento (94:126).

[Arou]

Jil Teichmann and Sloane Stephens
Over 21.5  1.98

Jil Teichmann and Sloane Stephens will challenge each other in a head-to-head match to qualify for the 1/8 finals of the American pentathlon on the San Diego open hard court. Stephens was supposed to face Kudermetova, but the Russian withdrew and the chance went to Teichmann, a lackey loser who previously failed to qualify.

Surface: Hard

Speed: 6/10

Current Teichmann rating: 38

Teichmann's win balance (2022): 23-22

Teichmann (hard) win balance: 11-12

Stephens current rating: 52

Stephens (2022) win balance: 14-15

Stephens (hard) win balance: 9-7

Statistical facts about the Teichmann vs Stephens match:
Teichmann has lost seven of her last eight matches when she was a 1.5 to 1.999 odds favorite.

Stephens has lost four of her last five matches at the WTA-500 level.

Face-to-face meetings between Teichmann and Stephens:
Only once have the tennis players crossed sets in tournaments, this year at the French Open, Stevens defeated her opponent 6-2, 6-0.

Jil Teichmann - Sloane Stephens:
A very difficult match to analyze, both are having an extremely weak season, only a few bursts of activity during the year they have. The Swiss is more established on the slower courts, but has stayed on the fast surface in recent months. The American has a hard court profile, but has not played on it since the US Open, and two weeks ago she wandered onto the clay in Italy, where she safely capitulated already in the second round. 

We suggest to bet on the total more games, in four of the last five matches Teichmann has played at least 20 games, and Stephens - 22. 

[ArvindDass]

And so today we bet on ATP Challenger tennis. Rio de Janeiro. Brazil. Clay. The match between Andrea Cogliarini - Juan Pablo Varillas is waiting here and I hope for a riding match, Varillas does not really like long matches, but here I think Cogliarini will interfere with this, and they will definitely win in a set. But the Peruvian is stronger and rated 228 Argentine, and 104 Peruvian. Previously, they didn’t play among themselves. I’ll put here betting a total over 20.5. Good luck to us and lets try to win this.

My betting pick will be over 20.5 games at 2 odds