BETTING PICKS COMPETITION 10/10/2022

[AlphaGambler]

*READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 2.50 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

 

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

 

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score
 

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.

Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.
 

The Prize pool is tiered,

First Place will win 200€,

Second Place 100€,

Third place 50€.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/
 

Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

[Sumit]

=> Tamara Korpatsch will win 2.1 odds.

Yastremska is on a streak of 8 losses (the last victory almost 4 months ago), plus a withdrawal due to a right hand injury in the last match against Radukanu. Clearly not the best times for Diana. Although Tamara Korpach specializes in clay (she has negative stats on hard) I will bet her in this match. Gained a good run, won two clay titles in a row, one W60 in Switzerland, the second W125 in Hungary. Then a short break and preparation for the hard, held two tournaments, both relegated to the finals of the qualifier. Taking into account Yastremska's emotional and physical problems and Korpacz's good playing form, I think the Korpatz will win this match. 

[Garf79]

Premier League and there is only one match being played tonight, Nottingham Forrest V's Aston Villa and Forrest are bottom of the table and Villa are in 16th place. Forrest are on a really bad run and have been in free fall since the start of the season. However they have recently showed a vote of confidence in the Manager Steve Cooper by extending his contract until 2025, this could bring a moral boost to the whole club and could mean that Nottingham will get a win here and the more I think about, the more I think we will see a home victory but the odds are too high in for this competition @3.60 but this fixture does normally have goals!

So my pick for this match even though neither team has been scoring many goals this season is over 2.5 goals for the match @1.90 on Bet365.

[PupperChan]

ANONYMO VS AVANGAR

Both teams have fallen! On a 3 lose streak (lost 2 before and 1 at the start of the tournament), both teams are desperate to win this match to get higher on the leaderboard to avoid elimination!

AVANGAR:

Ranking 85th globally, this team has been suffering a lot lately losing many times against teams like B8, TaG and fnatic rising. 

They have a 46% winstreak this month and each members of their team is underperforming and very inconsistent with ICY being the only exception. No matter how hard this guy tries, his teammates are pulling him down...

- Bad Form

- They lack the skills/teamwork used to fight against better players

- Gunplay is quite off often being the first to get picked off (4v5)

- Questionable plays? 😕

The only upside is that they are really good at certain maps like dust2/ancient

 

ANONYMO:

Ranking 115th, the same can be said for this team! Unlike Avangar however, ANONYMO is able to win atleast their own map pick and make the 3rd map really close. They can sometimes have decent performance but other times flunk it completely. 

The downsides to this team is that there is ALWAYS someone 1-2 players that bottom frag really hard having -10 or -15. (This is 15 more deaths than kills). Thus, basically lack the manpower needed to execute sites or hold it down.

It is really easy for them to lose control on defense so.. that is really how they lose.

 

MY PREDICTION:

Tough choice. Feels 50/50 since both teams are doing horrible so it is expected that they will go over 2.5 maps as they have the necessary preparation to win their own pick.

However, for this competition. I believe AVANGAR can win. I have seen some gameplay and the inconsistency of ANONYMO is much more severe and since they have 1-2 players choking everytime whilst AVANGAR all perform equally occasionally for good or better. This imbalance is what will cause them ANONYMO their demise.

AVANGAR TO WIN

[PupperChan]

40 minutes ago, PupperChan said:

ANONYMO VS AVANGAR

Both teams have fallen! On a 3 lose streak (lost 2 before and 1 at the start of the tournament), both teams are desperate to win this match to get higher on the leaderboard to avoid elimination!

AVANGAR:

Ranking 85th globally, this team has been suffering a lot lately losing many times against teams like B8, TaG and fnatic rising. 

They have a 46% winstreak this month and each members of their team is underperforming and very inconsistent with ICY being the only exception. No matter how hard this guy tries, his teammates are pulling him down...

- Bad Form

- They lack the skills/teamwork used to fight against better players

- Gunplay is quite off often being the first to get picked off (4v5)

- Questionable plays? 😕

The only upside is that they are really good at certain maps like dust2/ancient

 

ANONYMO:

Ranking 115th, the same can be said for this team! Unlike Avangar however, ANONYMO is able to win atleast their own map pick and make the 3rd map really close. They can sometimes have decent performance but other times flunk it completely. 

The downsides to this team is that there is ALWAYS someone 1-2 players that bottom frag really hard having -10 or -15. (This is 15 more deaths than kills). Thus, basically lack the manpower needed to execute sites or hold it down.

It is really easy for them to lose control on defense so.. that is really how they lose.

 

MY PREDICTION:

Tough choice. Feels 50/50 since both teams are doing horrible so it is expected that they will go over 2.5 maps as they have the necessary preparation to win their own pick.

However, for this competition. I believe AVANGAR can win. I have seen some gameplay and the inconsistency of ANONYMO is much more severe and since they have 1-2 players choking everytime whilst AVANGAR all perform equally occasionally for good or better. This imbalance is what will cause them ANONYMO their demise.

AVANGAR TO WIN

for good or better' i meant for better or worse lol

[steveo]

NFL

Well im 0-4 sheesh lol

LA Raider VS Kansas city Chiefs 

Observation- Both of these QB's are very good this season, Mahomes is on fire for Kansas with (1106-Yds)and (11-TD), this puts kansas in first in the AFC West. Mahomes also made (97/146 COMP/ATT). Derek Carr for the Raiders has (1038-Yds) and (6-TD) which puts the LA in 4th in the AFC West, Derek also has  (94/154- COMP/ATT). Kansas is 3-1-0 and LA is 1-3-0 but both teams are high scoring teams and QB's . Yards per game is almost 400 yards for both teams and points per game average is 38 for both teams so the total of the game should be around 60! This game will be over 40 after half time so i feel it will easily pass 55  

Prediction is over 54 at 2.27

[steveo]

Just now, steveo said:

NFL

Well im 0-4 sheesh lol

LA Raider VS Kansas city Chiefs 

Observation- Both of these QB's are very good this season, Mahomes is on fire for Kansas with (1106-Yds)and (11-TD), this puts kansas in first in the AFC West. Mahomes also made (97/146 COMP/ATT). Derek Carr for the Raiders has (1038-Yds) and (6-TD) which puts the LA in 4th in the AFC West, Derek also has  (94/154- COMP/ATT). Kansas is 3-1-0 and LA is 1-3-0 but both teams are high scoring teams and QB's . Yards per game is almost 400 yards for both teams and points per game average is 38 for both teams so the total of the game should be around 60! This game will be over 40 after half time so i feel it will easily pass 55  

Prediction is over 54 at 2.27

 

[Maniés]

Giulio Zeppieri had a memorable time in his most recent main-draw appearance on the main tour in Umag three months ago when he won five matches as a qualifier and took a set off the current world #1 Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinal — his career-best result in ATP events. The confidence gained from that excellent run in Umag did not help the talented Italian youngster in any way in the following weeks and months. He failed in the qualifying stages at the US Open, exited early in a few Challenger tournaments, and even lost in straight sets to Milan Zekic in the first round at Parma Challenger last week.

Altug Celikbilek produced a couple of impressive performances in his straight-set wins over the dangerous Roman Safiullin and Andrea Vavassori in the ATP Florence qualifier over the weekend, 7-6 6-1 and 6-1 6-4. The 26-year-old is capable of producing performances like that on faster surfaces, but he doesn't do that on a consistent basis, and as a result, he is struggling to make a significant jump in rankings. He won his first title of the season at Porto Challenger in July but lost eight of the following 11 matches before arriving in Florence.

While Giulio Zeppieri is by far the talented player of these two, Altug Celikbilek is marginally better on indoor hard courts at this moment, and expect him to have equal chances in this evenly poised first-round clash.

  My Bet: Giulio Zeppieri to win at 2.270 odds

[ArvindDass]

A very good tennis match at the tournament in florence, pinnace offer us close odds, giving a slight advantage to the Altug, who has already won two dry victories in the qualifier here and, in general, of course, plays more on hard than his opponent, who loves clay more, but for Guilio Zeppieri , the tournament is home plus this is not.. Guilio Zeppieri  does not have so many victories in the main draw of atr tournaments) therefore, the motivation is prohibitive in general, the Guilio Zeppieri spends a good season for himself with a stat of 27-27 and here he is quite capable of overcoming Altug who, in general, is not having the best season.. 

My betting pick will be Guilio Zeppieri 2.27 odds.

 

[Arou]

Evan Zhu vs Benjamin Lock 
Benjamin Lock win 2.08

One of the first round matches at the Challenger in Fairfield will be a curious encounter between Evan Zhu and Benjamin Lock. Both of these guys are in crisis, judging by their losing streak. But yes, just recently it was Locke who was stronger on Indore, even though it was as random a bout as possible with mutual odds. What to expect from their next battle?

Surface: Hard

Speed of coverage: 7/10

Current rating of Zhu: 326

Zhu's (2022) win balance: 39-26

Zhu's win balance (hard): 12-11

Current rating of Lock: 388

Lock (2022) Victory Balance: 43-26

Lock (hard) win balance: 16-13

Statistical facts about the match Zhu- Lock:
Zhu has lost its last six matches.

Lock has six straight losses on hard surface.

Face-to-face meetings between Zhu and Lock:
2-1 ahead of Lock. His last match was on Indoors in late September (3-6, 6-1, 7-6).

Prediction for Evan Zhu - Benjamin Lock:
It's hard to adequately assess the tennis players' form, as they've been losing everything and anything in recent weeks. It's hard to adequately assess the form of the tennis players since they've been losing everything in recent weeks. Again, the match was very close, but the Zimbabwean was a little luckier. Plus the serve saved the two-meter giant, which won't happen on hard.

Last week was more productive for Zhu, who looked just as good as Vachereau. The American took the first game again, like in the above-mentioned bout with Lock. In comparison Benjamin took four games against Memo the last few days and won the French Futures title before that.

In this match I would like to give my preference to Benjamin Lock.

[Joshthomas]

1. Looks like Denver is not the best way to prepare for the new season. They lost two pre-season matches. First, the Nuggets lost to Oklahoma (101:112), and then were defeated by Chicago (113:131).
2. So far, Denver decided to overlook the reservists in the case. But it didn't end well. Only Michael Porter tries to show everything that he is capable of. In the last match he scored 20 points. But another leader, Jamal Murray, is unpleasantly surprising.
3. Phoenix began their preparation for the new season with a friendly match against Adelaide. That match they could not win. They lost with a score of 124:134.
4. In the next match, luck smiled at the team from Arizona. The Suns took on the Lakers. 22 points from Devin Booker and 21 points from Landry Chamet allowed the Lakers to win 119:115.

Bet: total over 215

Odds: 1.72 odds