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Betting Picks Wednesday 12th April 2023


Garf79

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READ RULES*

https://forum.alphagamblers.com/topic/833-betting-picks-competition-rules/

The picks you create must be between the odds of 1.50 and 3.00 and can only be odds set by these bookmakers:

Bet365
Pinnacle
You can only take these bet types:

Team to win or Draw
Over/Under goals (Game total)
Both Teams to score

 

Players can submit 1 pick per day and in the course of 1 month have to submit a total of 10 picks in order to qualify for the competition.
Bets/Posts must contain a written account of why the bet will win with 150 words minimum.
No Duplicate picks! All picks must be unique!
Odds must be between 1.50 to 3.00

The Prize pool is tiered,

150e
100e
75e
5e free bet
5e free bet
5e free bet
5e free bet
5e free bet.

You can check odds for your picks here:
http://www.oddsportal.com/


Post your picks in the comment below.

Good luck to all!

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Real Madrid will no longer be able to compete for the championship in La Liga. The fact is that the gap between the cream and Barcelona is 12 points, and the opponent spent a game less. Ancelotti's wards have been making unforced errors lately and losing important points. For example, in the last round, Madrid unexpectedly lost to Villarreal with a score of 2:3, although they led twice. But in the current campaign so far there are no complaints about Real Madrid – recall that in the 1/8 finals they easily beat Liverpool with a total score of 6:2.

The Blues have a new mentor – Frank Lampard now runs the club, but with him the wards failed the first match, and against the underdog. In the last round of the Premier League, the Londoners lost to Wolverhampton with a score of 0:1. While the game is not glued to the Mudrik, on whom great hopes were pinned, plus there is not enough order in the attacking plan. It should be noted that Lampard tried to play according to the 4-3-3 scheme, but it did not bring results, although according to the xG indicator, the wards played for a goal (1,16).

image.png.6eec7a611e917289ea834e2fdfc1126d.png My bet: Real Madrid to win with 1.729 odds

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I was going for the same bet as Manies but I will try my luck ob the AC Milan Napoli game and the bookies have this match as a pretty even affair. The bookies also think that this will be a low scoring game with under 2.5 goals at a very low 1.61, however I have a feeling that both teams will score and Napoli will win, I am a little worried about Napoli winning 1 or 2-0 but I think that Napoli's attacking style will overcome AC's defensive counter attacking approach, so my pick is over 2.5 goals @2.30 on Bet 365

2050909502_Screenshotfrom2023-04-1118-26-53.png.d5170d1b133932ed9b04c442a2532d96.png

  • Thanks 1
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=> Dominic Thiem win 2.92 odds

Dominic did not play for a long time and went down in the ranking quite low, starting this tournament Thiem took 111th place. But after defeating Gasquet, he went down a little to number 106. Rune has proven itself well on hard at large tournaments, and due to this it has the 9th place in the rate. Dominic after losing in Estoril that such a surface is very convenient for him, as the balls bounce decently and it is hard for many players, to take the same Medvedev, he has a slightly different style of play, it will be hard for him on the ground with such rebounds. Dominic now needs such victories over such rivals from the top 10 to rise the rating higher. Especially since all Thiem trump cards are in his arms. But the opponent is not a gift, runs well on the court, serves decently, and shows excellent physical shape. 

47AFDDD8-A106-4C62-8F3F-1C5D7CF80796.thumb.png.00fe43d84b58f0b5ba4b41f5036edd1c.png

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1. Cerundolo performed well at the last Masters. In Miami, the Argentine managed to reach the quarter finals. During the tournament, he beat Alexander Kovacevic, Felix  and Lorenzo Sonego, but a step away from the quarterfinals he was defeated by Karen Khachanov.

2. In Monte Carlo, Francisco can show a more successful result, because the soil is considered a profile coating for it. In the opening match here, Cherundolo has already managed to defeat Cameron Norrie (6:3, 6:4).

3. Matteo Berrettini needs to score rating points, as at the beginning of the season he was not surprised by the results. Matteo showed a very mediocre game on hard, so he dropped to 22nd place in the world ranking.

4. Berrettini perfectly started the Masters in Monte Carlo. He didn't have any problems in the first round. He easily defeat with Maxime Cresst (6:4, 6:2).

Bet: Over 22.5 games Yes

Odd: 1.97

Screenshot_2023-04-12-02-16-55-565_com.android.chrome-edit.thumb.jpg.9e885894a1e36657d0e39ab495d132f3.jpg

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MLB

Miami VS Philly -----start time 10 PM (CET) April 12th

Miami is 4-7 and is 4th is the NL East, Philly is 4-6 and is 4th in the NL East. Both starting pitchers ERA is over 5 runs , which means they allow 5 runs normally when they pitch so far this season. The last match up between these 2 teams was a 15!-3 win for Philly ... yes that was last year as this is the first match between these 2 this season also Philly almost won last year comming second losing to Houston in the finals. Philly is scoring well and Miami has struggled with getting runs but they allow 5 .56 runs so far per game.

Prediction is over 7 for 1.61

 

67dfccc0a88c30b18136e550ec420a78.png

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Matteo Berretini in terrible shape this year. Absolutely no tennis. There are no results at all. He fell out of the ranks and it's not clear when he'll be back. Maybe he'll get to the grass. But so far it's not the Berretini you're used to seeing. Francisco Cerundolo  added good tennis. He was good in Miami again. Profile primer. played here in the first round of Cam Norrie. Killing figures on the implementation of the first serve is 90% and at the reception of the first one are almost 50%, despite the fact that the British had a good first ball. He beated Cameron Norrie just like nothing. He is in extreme form and He will easily beat Matteo here too.

My betting Pick will be Francisco Cerundolo win 2.4 odds. 

8ACCB8AB-EA9A-4179-9838-3E96BC144ABE.thumb.jpeg.b1aa13ca67aeddbac29fb09ac0347e66.jpeg

 

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Sorry about the time, I know I'm out of time, but I haven't had much lately and yesterday I regretted not placing my bet. We go for number of goals and both teams score Real vs Chelsea. With the match against Villareal, it was demonstrated a fatigue in the merengue team which can take its toll in this match as well. That is why I predict a good amount of goals from both teams. My bet is that both teams will score and if they will score more than 2.5 goals for a odds of 2.5. Thanks

Screenshot_20230412_090255_Samsung Internet.jpg

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